Match Info

Date: 28 November 2020, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Guaraní Asuncion		Chapecoense

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.25	2.3	Watch
	3.1	3	2.2
	2.9	3	2.3
	3.3	2.85	2.3
	3.54	3	2.4
	3.2	2.88	2.4
	3.34	3.04	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.21 ↑ (2.63)	3 ↓ (3.15)	2.32 ↓ (2.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guaraní Asuncion
28.9%

Draw
31%

Chapecoense
40.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.8%

29.9%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29%

24.2%

46.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guaraní Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Guaraní Asuncion's form might have worsened.

Chapecoense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chapecoense's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guaraní Asuncion than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chapecoense than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chapecoense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Guaraní Asuncion - Chapecoense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion to Serie A).

Recent matches Guaraní is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Chapecoense is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Guaraní could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Guaraní won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guaraní Asuncion
Copa Libertadores
26.11.20	Guaraní Asuncion - Grêmio	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
24.11.20	Paraná Clube Curitiba - Guaraní Asuncion	1:2 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
21.11.20	12 de Octubre - Guaraní Asuncion	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
20.11.20	Guaraní Asuncion - Botafogo SP	2:1 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
16.11.20	Guaraní Asuncion - San Lorenzo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LWLWW
- Chapecoense-SC
Brazilian Serie B
24.11.20	Chapecoense - Cruzeiro	0:1 ✺
20.11.20	Sampaio Corrêa - Chapecoense	1:3 ✺
10.11.20	CS Alagoano - Chapecoense	0:1 ✺
07.11.20	Chapecoense - Osasco Sporting	0:0 ✺
31.10.20	Confiança - Chapecoense	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
24.08.20	Chapecoense - Guaraní Asuncion	2:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guaraní Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
30.10.26	Guaraní Asuncion - 2 de Mayo	✺
- Chapecoense-SC
Brazilian Serie A
03.11.26	Chapecoense - Mirassol	✺

Guaraní Asuncion - Chapecoense