The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Grêmio 31.6%
Draw 31.9%
Internacional RS 36.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
28.7%
30.1%
41.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.6%
28.9%
42.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Grêmio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
Internacional RS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio than the current prediction. (-4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Internacional RS than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Internacional RS could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
12.5%
37.5%
50%
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Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Grêmio will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Internacional will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Internacional: 15.4% – 84.6%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Weverton (G) 27. Diego Caito 82. Wallace 4. Walter Kannemann (C) 23. Marlon 8. Noriega E. 7. Pavon C. 20. Villasanti M. 10. Krovinovic F. 9. Amuzu F. 95. Carlos Vinicius
23. Matheus Cunha (G) 15. Bruno Gomes 3. Maripan G. 25. Mercado G. 6. Matheus Bahia 29. Thiago Maia 8. Bruno Henrique 5. Villagra R. 10. Alan Patrick (C) 19. Sanabria A. 26. Bernabei A.
Substitutes
50. Bernardo Zortea 22. Braithwaite M. 15. Danilo Barbosa 99. Enamorado J. 12. Gabriel Grando (G) 6. Gustavo Martins 18. Joao Pedro 30. Matheus Nascimento 5. Nardoni J. 54. Pedro Gabriel 11. Tete 3. Wagner Leonardo
35. Aguirre B. 9. Alerrandro 12. Anthoni (G) 30. Calebe 7. Carbonero J. 17. Eliasson N. 44. Joao Victor 18. Juninho 27. Paulinho Paula 16. Ronaldo 4. Torres F. 28. Vitinho
Coaches
Castro L.
Pezzolano P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Carlos Vinicius ⚽,
22', 2 - 0, Carlos Vinicius ⚽, Amuzu F. (A),
29', Thiago Maia 🟨,
33', Pavon C. 🟨,
45+2', Pezzolano P. 🟨,
45+3', Walter Kannemann 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
58', Bruno Henrique ↓, Vitinho ↑,
59', Matheus Bahia ↓, Carbonero J. ↑,
62', Walter Kannemann ↓, Gustavo Martins ↑,
62', Pavon C. ↓, Tete ↑,
68', 3 - 0, Krovinovic F. ⚽, Amuzu F. (A),
71', Sanabria A. ↓, Alerrandro ↑,
71', Thiago Maia ↓, Paulinho Paula ↑,
74', Maripan G. 🟨,
74', Gustavo Martins 🟨,
79', 3 - 1, Vitinho ⚽, Alan Patrick (A),
83', Amuzu F. ↓, Nardoni J. ↑,
83', Krovinovic F. ↓, Enamorado J. ↑,
84', Alan Patrick 🟨,
89', Villasanti M. ↓, Danilo Barbosa ↑,
90', Marlon 🟨,
Preview
First leg result: 0-0.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grêmio won 1.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Grêmio is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Grêmio: Diego Caito
(Shoulder Injury)
Dodi
(Knee Injury)
Gabriel Mec
(Inactive)
Nardoni J.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Internacional: Allex
(Inactive)
Kayky
(Ankle Injury)
Rochet S.
(Lower Back Injury)
There are questionable in Internacional: Arhin B.
(Hamstring Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Grêmio won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 24:25. (average 1.2:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Grêmio won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.3:1).
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Last Results with these Odds
Grêmio - the odds 3.25 are the expected chance of winning is 28.71%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.