The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Chapecoense 25.5%
Draw 27.3%
Internacional RS 47.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.3%
28.4%
38.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.5%
27.7%
39.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chapecoense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chapecoense's form might have worsened.
Internacional RS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Internacional RS's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chapecoense than the current prediction. (+7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chapecoense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Internacional RS than the current prediction. (-7.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Internacional RS, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
100%
Chapecoense - Internacional RS Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Internacional will win (votes: 8 - 100%). Confidence interval (95%) for Internacional: 100% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Internacional (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
98. Anderson (G) 26. Everton 21. Kauan 3. Eduardo Doma (C) 91. Bruno Pacheco 27. Camilo Reijers 88. Yago Felipe 7. Marcinho 80. Carvalho M. 31. Mauricio Garcez 9. Tulio
23. Matheus Cunha (G) 15. Bruno Gomes 3. Maripan G. 25. Mercado G. 26. Bernabei A. 5. Villagra R. 28. Vitinho 8. Bruno Henrique 27. Paulinho Paula 7. Carbonero J. 10. Alan Patrick (C)
Substitutes
11. Bolasie Y. 77. Borrero D. 16. Bruno Matias 19. David Antunes 12. Fernando 4. Joao Paulo 6. Mancha 30. Matheus Aurelio (G) 1. Rafael Santos (G) 15. Rafael Thyere 94. Ramirez K. 70. Rubens Ricoldi
9. Alerrandro 31. Allex 12. Anthoni (G) 53. de Morais Francisco L. F. 17. Eliasson N. 44. Joao Victor 18. Juninho 16. Ronaldo 19. Sanabria A. 29. Thiago Maia 4. Torres F. 52. Vinicius G.
Coaches
Rafael Lacerda
Pezzolano P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
26', 0 - 1, Bruno Henrique ⚽, Carbonero J. (A),
44', Rafael Lacerda 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 1, Mauricio Garcez ⚽, Marcinho (A),
45+4', Marcinho 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', Eduardo Doma 🟨,
65', Camilo Reijers 🟨,
65', Bruno Henrique ↓, Joao Victor ↑,
66', Carvalho M. ↓, Bolasie Y. ↑,
68', 1 - 2, Carbonero J. ⚽,
74', Joao Victor 🟨,
75', Bolasie Y. 🟨,
76', Yago Felipe ↓, Rubens Ricoldi ↑,
76', Everton ↓, Bruno Matias ↑,
78', Bruno Gomes 🟨,
86', Bruno Gomes ↓, Juninho ↑,
86', Carbonero J. ↓, Eliasson N. ↑,
90+2', Camilo Reijers ↓, Borrero D. ↑,
90+2', Bruno Pacheco ↓, Fernando ↑,
90+3', Paulinho Paula ↓, Ronaldo ↑,
90+3', Alan Patrick ↓, Sanabria A. ↑,
Preview
In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chapecoense won 1.
Chapecoense has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Internacional has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Chapecoense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Internacional might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Chapecoense: Joao Paulo
(Health problems)
Max Alves
(Injury)
Rafael Carvalheira
(Knee Injury)
Vinicius Balieiro
(Inactive)
There will not play in Internacional: Aguirre B.
(Yellow Cards)
Allex
(Inactive)
Matheus Bahia
(Red Card)
There are questionable in Chapecoense: Robert Conceicao
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Internacional: Arhin B.
(Hamstring Injury)
Kayky
(Ankle Injury)
Rochet S.
(Lower Back Injury)
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Chapecoense won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:16. (average 1.1:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Chapecoense won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:3. (average 2:0.5).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
17
Internacional
29
7
10
12
32:37
-5
31
20
Chapecoense-SC
28
3
9
16
29:57
-28
18
Last Results with these Odds
Chapecoense - the odds 2.78 are the expected chance of winning is 33.3%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.
Internacional RS - the odds 2.42 are the expected chance of winning is 38.27%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.