Match Info

Date: 23 July 2022, Saturday

Location: Arena do Grêmio (Porto Alegre)

Referee: Zanovelli P. C. (Bra)


	Grêmio		Ponte Preta

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.38	4.1	8.75
	1.35	4.25	8
	1.36	4.1	8.8
	1.38	4.55	10.83
	1.36	4	10
	1.37	4.4	9.8	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.37)	4.23 ↓ (4.36)	9.36 ↑ (8.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grêmio
68.1%

Draw
22%

Ponte Preta
9.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.8%

21.3%

10.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.3%

20.2%

11.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grêmio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Ponte Preta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponte Preta than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	16.7%	16.7%

Grêmio - Ponte Preta Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Grêmio will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Ponte Preta will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Grêmio: 40% – 93.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Grêmio won 3.

Now both teams are in good shape.

Grêmio could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Grêmio is absolute favorite.

There will not play in Grêmio: Brenno (Injury) Edilson (Injury) Elkeson C. (Injury) Kannemann W. (Injury) Nicolas Vichiatto (Injury) Phelipe (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Ponte Preta: Fabinho (Injury) Leo Santos (Injury) Ribamar (Injury)

Our prediction for today's Grêmio to win the game is with odds 1.36.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Grêmio won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Grêmio won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grêmio RS
Brazilian Serie B
19.07.22	Brusque - Grêmio	1:1 ✺
16.07.22	Grêmio - Tombense	3:0 ✺
08.07.22	Grêmio - Náutico Capibaribe	2:0 ✺
03.07.22	Bahia - Grêmio	0:0 ✺
28.06.22	Grêmio - Londrina	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TWWTW
- AA Ponte Preta
Brazilian Serie B
20.07.22	Ponte Preta - Náutico Capibaribe	1:0 ✺
15.07.22	Criciúma - Ponte Preta	1:1 ✺
07.07.22	CS Alagoano - Ponte Preta	0:1 ✺
03.07.22	Ponte Preta - Tombense	0:0 ✺
28.06.22	Vila Nova - Ponte Preta	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 WTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
09.04.22	Ponte Preta - Grêmio	0:0
Brazilian Serie A
08.11.17	Ponte Preta - Grêmio	0:1
16.07.17	Grêmio - Ponte Preta	3:1
14.09.16	Ponte Preta - Grêmio	3:0
05.06.16	Grêmio - Ponte Preta	1:0
23.08.15	Ponte Preta - Grêmio	0:0
10.05.15	Grêmio - Ponte Preta	3:3

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