Match Info

Paulista - Round 2

Date: 13 January 2026, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi (Novo Horizonte)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, HBO Max, Sky+, TNT Sports, Vivo Play, Zapping


	Grêmio Novorizontino		Guarani

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.5	5.75	Watch
	1.7	3.35	5.15
	1.69	3.48	5.44	Watch
	1.7	3.2	4.8
	1.68	3.59	5.61	Watch
	1.76	3.25	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.71)	3.4 ↑ (3.27)	5.38 ↑ (5.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grêmio Novorizontino
55.2%

Draw
27.5%

Guarani
17.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.8%

28.1%

18.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grêmio Novorizontino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Guarani has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Grêmio Novorizontino - Guarani Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Novorizontino will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Guarani will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Guarani will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
93. Jordi (G) 22. Ivan Alvarino 14. Eduardo Brock 25. Dantas 77. Mayk 15. Tavinho 6. Luis Oyama 18. Leo Naldi 19. Diego Galo 10. Romulo 11. Robson (C)	1. Caique Franca (G) 3. Raphael 4. Jonathan Costa 5. Rafael Donato (C) 6. Emerson Barbosa 8. Nathan Melo 15. Willian Farias 7. Guilherme Parede 10. Diego Torres 11. Mirandinha 9. Lucca
Substitutes
7. Airton 31. Cesar Augusto (G) 26. Gabriel Bahia 41. Helio Borges 5. Jean Irmer 50. Juninho 21. Kauan Alemao 1. Lucas Pereira (G) 17. Matheus Bianqui 30. Nicolas Careca 4. Patrick 16. Vinicius Paiva	2. Cicinho 17. Dentinho 22. Fabricio Dias 25. Fred Conte (G) 23. Guilherme Cachoeira 20. Isaque 21. Kaua Jesus 19. Maranhao 12. Mateus Claus (G) 13. Mauricio Antonio 14. Ralf 16. Renan Castro
Coaches
Moreira E.	Matheus Costa

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', Diego Torres 🟨,
28', Caique Franca 🟨,
31', Lucca 🟥,
32', Diego Torres ↓, Maranhao ↑,
33', 1 - 0, Robson ⚽, Romulo (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', Raphael 🟨,
61', Mirandinha ↓, Dentinho ↑,
61', Willian Farias ↓, Ralf ↑,
67', Romulo ↓, Juninho ↑,
67', Diego Galo ↓, Helio Borges ↑,
71', 2 - 0, Juninho ⚽, Robson (A),
74', Emerson Barbosa ↓, Renan Castro ↑,
74', Guilherme Parede ↓, Guilherme Cachoeira ↑,
87', Tavinho ↓, Vinicius Paiva ↑,
87', Robson ↓, Nicolas Careca ↑,
90+1', Leo Naldi ↓, Jean Irmer ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Novorizontino won 2.

In this match, Novorizontino is the team to beat.

There will not play in Novorizontino: Marlon (Inactive) Renato Palm (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Guarani: Maranhao (Inactive)

There are questionable in Guarani: Mirandinha (Injury)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Novorizontino won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Novorizontino won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1.2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grêmio Novorizontino
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
10.01.26	Santos - Grêmio Novorizontino	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
22.11.25	Grêmio Novorizontino - CRB Maceio	3:0 ✺
16.11.25	Goiás - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Grêmio Novorizontino - Remo	1:1 ✺
03.11.25	América Mineiro - Grêmio Novorizontino	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWLTT
- Guarani Futebol Clube
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
10.01.26	Guarani - EC Primavera	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
11.10.25	Ponte Preta - Guarani	2:0 ✺
04.10.25	Guarani - Náutico Capibaribe	1:1 ✺
27.09.25	Brusque - Guarani	3:2 ✺
21.09.25	Guarani - Brusque	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 TLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
13.02.25	Guarani - Grêmio Novorizontino	0:0
Brazilian Serie B
29.10.24	Guarani - Grêmio Novorizontino	0:2
13.07.24	Grêmio Novorizontino - Guarani	1:1
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
12.02.24	Grêmio Novorizontino - Guarani	2:0
Brazilian Serie B
30.09.23	Guarani - Grêmio Novorizontino	2:1
07.06.23	Grêmio Novorizontino - Guarani	1:0
20.09.22	Guarani - Grêmio Novorizontino	2:0

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