Match Info

Paulista - Round 1

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Estádio Brinco de Ouro (Campinas)

Referee: Holanda G. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	HBO Max


	Guarani		EC Primavera

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.7	4.33	Watch
	2.02	2.98	4.05
	2	2.91	4.52	Watch
	2	2.7	4
	2.13	2.74	4.62	Watch
	2.2	2.66	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (1.93)	2.78 ↓ (3.04)	4.31 ↓ (4.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guarani
44.8%

Draw
33.5%

EC Primavera
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48%

30.5%

21.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guarani has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

EC Primavera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Guarani - EC Primavera Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Guarani (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Caique Franca (G) 2. Cicinho 5. Rafael Donato (C) 4. Jonathan Costa 6. Emerson 15. Willian Farias 7. Guilherme Parede 10. Diego Torres 8. Igor Pereira 11. Mirandinha 9. Lucca	1. Victor Hugo (G) 2. Kevin 3. Afonso 4. Ligger 6. Thales Oleques 8. Luan Martins 5. Junior Caicara 7. Paulo Baya 10. Matheus Anjos 11. Welliton 9. Gabriel Poveda
Substitutes
17. Dentinho 22. Fabricio Dias 23. Guilherme Cachoeira 20. Isaque 21. Kaua Jesus 19. Kewen 12. Mateus Claus (G) 13. Mauricio Antonio 18. Nathan Melo 14. Ralf 3. Raphael 16. Renan Castro	12. Dheimison (G) 13. Gabriel Tobias 23. Josiel 25. Kauan 18. Leo Passos 19. Lucas Douglas 21. Luis Fernando 16. Paulinho 17. Renatinho 14. Renato Vischi 20. Richard Almeyda 15. Victor J.
Coaches
Matheus Costa	Marques R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
3', Thales Oleques 🟨,
29', Cicinho 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Cicinho ↓, Raphael ↑,
50', Igor Pereira ↓, Nathan Melo ↑,
56', Ligger 🟨,
62', Paulo Baya ↓, Kauan ↑,
63', Welliton ↓, Josiel ↑,
65', Diego Torres ↓, Isaque ↑,
65', Guilherme Parede ↓, Guilherme Cachoeira ↑,
66', 1 - 0, Raphael ⚽,
75', Gabriel Poveda ↓, Leo Passos ↑,
75', Matheus Anjos ↓, Renatinho ↑,
77', Mirandinha ↓, Dentinho ↑,
83', Isaque 🟨,
84', Luan Martins ↓, Paulinho ↑,
90+1', Kevin 🟨,
90+6', 1 - 1, Josiel ⚽, Leo Passos (A),

Preview

In this match, Guarani is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Primavera: Gabriel Poveda (Inactive)

There are questionable in Guarani: Guilherme Parede (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Primavera: Thales Oleques (Inactive)

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guarani Futebol Clube
Brazilian Serie C
11.10.25	Ponte Preta - Guarani	2:0 ✺
04.10.25	Guarani - Náutico Capibaribe	1:1 ✺
27.09.25	Brusque - Guarani	3:2 ✺
21.09.25	Guarani - Brusque	1:0 ✺
13.09.25	Náutico Capibaribe - Guarani	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LTLWW
- EC Primavera
Brazilian Copa Paulista
11.10.25	Piracicaba - EC Primavera	2:0 ✺
05.10.25	EC Primavera - Piracicaba	1:0 ✺
28.09.25	EC Primavera - Grêmio Prudente	3:1 penalties ✺
20.09.25	Grêmio Prudente - EC Primavera	1:0 ✺
12.09.25	União São João - EC Primavera	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LWWLW

Guarani - EC Primavera: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide