Match Info

Date: 13 March 2021, Saturday


	Grêmio Novorizontino		São Paulo

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.5	1.7
	5	3.4	1.65
	5.2	3.35	1.62
	4.6	3.25	1.71
	5.49	3.48	1.72
	4.8	3.4	1.73
	4.9	3.68	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.96 ↓ (5.86)	3.44 ↓ (3.8)	1.69 ↑ (1.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grêmio Novorizontino
18.6%

Draw
26.9%

São Paulo
54.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.7%

24.2%

60.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.3%

20.5%

70.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grêmio Novorizontino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

São Paulo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and São Paulo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio Novorizontino than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Grêmio Novorizontino that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (+16.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that São Paulo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Grêmio Novorizontino - São Paulo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Novorizontino is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

São Paulo is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match São Paulo is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Novorizontino won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Novorizontino won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grêmio Novorizontino
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
06.03.21	Internacional de Limeira - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:0 ✺
02.03.21	Mirassol - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:1 ✺
27.02.21	Grêmio Novorizontino - Ponte Preta	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
23.01.21	Grêmio Novorizontino - Floresta	0:2 ✺
16.01.21	Floresta - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LTTLT
- São Paulo FC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
06.03.21	São Paulo - Santos	4:0 ✺
03.03.21	Internacional de Limeira - São Paulo	0:4 ✺
28.02.21	São Paulo - Botafogo SP	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
25.02.21	São Paulo - Flamengo	2:1 ✺
22.02.21	Botafogo RJ - São Paulo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
03.02.20	São Paulo - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:1
24.01.19	Grêmio Novorizontino - São Paulo	0:3
20.01.18	São Paulo - Grêmio Novorizontino	0:0
25.02.17	Grêmio Novorizontino - São Paulo	2:2
24.02.16	São Paulo - Grêmio Novorizontino	2:0

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