The best margin for this event is 10.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Greifswald 30%
Draw 23%
Rot-Weiß Erfurt 47%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.5%
24.2%
49.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Greifswald have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
The chances for Rot-Weiß Erfurt have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Greifswald than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rot-Weiß Erfurt than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
19', 1 - 0, Huther M. K. ⚽,
29', 2 - 0, Bokake G. ⚽,
32', 2 - 1, Caciel B. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
57', 2 - 2, Hajrulla R. ⚽,
67', 2 - 3, Caciel B. ⚽,
Preview
A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 7th and 2nd).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Greifswald won 0.
Greifswald has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Rot-Weiß Erfurt has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Rot-Weiß Erfurt could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Rot-Weiß Erfurt is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Greifswald has recorded 0 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:17 (averaging 0.8:2.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Greifswald against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with 3:7 goals (averaging 0.8:1.8 per game).