The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Greuther Fürth 42.3%
Draw 25.7%
Fortuna Düsseldorf 32%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.6%
26.7%
37.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.4%
26.6%
37.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Greuther Fürth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Greuther Fürth's performance.
Fortuna Düsseldorf has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fortuna Düsseldorf might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Greuther Fürth than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Greuther Fürth that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortuna Düsseldorf than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fortuna Düsseldorf could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
86.7%
0%
13.3%
Greuther Fürth - Fortuna Düsseldorf Predictions
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Fürth will win (votes: 13 - 86.7%). Fortuna will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Fürth: 69.5% – 100%.
43. Prufrock S. (G) 23. Dehm J. 15. Elvedi J. 4. Ziereis P. 27. Itter G. 13. Will P. 30. Klaus F. 10. Hrgota B. (C) 7. Srbeny D. 47. Ltaief S. 9. Futkeu N.
33. Kastenmeier F. (C) 12. Lunddal V. 15. Oberdorf T. 44. Egouli E. 3. Lenz C. 14. Alexandropoulos S. 6. Breithaupt T. 19. Iyoha E. 23. Appelkamp S. 46. Suso S. 20. Ljubicic M.
Substitutes
28. Arifi D. 6. Banse S. 25. Bjarnason B. 26. Boevink P. (G) 33. Dietz M. 37. Green J. 18. Higl F. 16. Keller A. 5. Munz R.
2. Daland J. 11. Hettwer J. 5. Heyer M. 1. Lotka M. (G) 27. Paulina J. 7. Raimund L. 10. Rasmussen C. 21. Rossmann T. 16. Tanaka S.
Coaches
Vogel H.
Ende A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Klaus F. ⚽, Itter G. (A),
12', Will P. 🟨,
16', 2 - 0, Egouli E. (Own goal),
21', Alexandropoulos S. 🟨,
36', 3 - 0, Futkeu N. ⚽,
45+1', Appelkamp S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Alexandropoulos S. ↓, Tanaka S. ↑,
46', Suso S. ↓, Paulina J. ↑,
46', Lunddal V. ↓, Rasmussen C. ↑,
61', Srbeny D. ↓, Arifi D. ↑,
67', Ltaief S. ↓, Munz R. ↑,
76', Appelkamp S. ↓, Rossmann T. ↑,
78', Itter G. 🟨,
80', Paulina J. 🟨,
82', Lenz C. ↓, Daland J. ↑,
82', Daland J. 🟨,
89', Itter G. ↓, Bjarnason B. ↑,
90+3', Munz R. 🟨,
90+4', Arifi D. 🟨,
90+5', Kastenmeier F. 🟨,
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga and 15).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fürth won 2.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Fürth may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in Fürth: Banse S.
(Knee Injury)
John M.
(Broken Leg)
Reich L.
(Muscle Injury)
Schlieck T.
(Muscle Injury)
There will not play in Fortuna: El Azzouzi A.
(Shoulder Injury)
Itten C.
(Yellow Cards)
Muslija F.
(Knee Injury)
Rossmann T.
(Illness)
Schmidt K.
(Knee Injury)
Tanaka S.
(Muscle Injury)
Zimmermann M.
(Yellow Cards)
de Wijs J.
(Back Injury)
There are questionable in Fortuna: Zimmermann M.
(Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Fürth won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 35:26. (average 1.8:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Fürth won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 21:8. (average 2.3:0.9).
Outrights of German 2 Bundesliga for now
Greuther Furth: 0.4%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
14
Greuther Furth
6
1
3
2
9:11
-2
6
Last Results with these Odds
Fortuna Düsseldorf - the odds 2.51 are the expected chance of winning is 37.62%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.