The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Greuther Fürth 12.7%
Draw 16.8%
Borussia Dortmund 70.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
10.7%
16.6%
72.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
10.4%
16.1%
74.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Greuther Fürth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
Borussia Dortmund has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Greuther Fürth than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borussia Dortmund than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
36.2%
8.5%
55.3%
Greuther Fürth - Borussia Dortmund Predictions
Users Predictions:
47 users predict this event. Fürth will win (votes: 17 - 36.2%). Borussia D will win (votes: 26 - 55.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 8.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Borussia D: 41.1% – 69.5%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Preview
Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Group Stage)).
Fürth is Relegated to 2. Bundesliga
Borussia D is Qualified for Champions League (Group Stage)
Fürth has the most likely position - 18 (100%), has project points - 20, has currently - 18, was already of relegated.
Borussia D has the most likely position - 2 (97.47%), has project points - 67, has currently - 63, has not chance of relegated, was already of qualify for ucl, has not chance of win league.
This event has quality63, very small importance0, match rating32. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Fürth is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Borussia D is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Fürth could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Borussia D is certain favorite.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Fürth won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3-14.
Including matches at home between the teams Fürth won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-8.