Match Info

Date: 23 April 2022, Saturday


	Greuther Fürth		Bayer Leverkusen

	1	X	2
	10	5.5	1.3	Watch
	10.5	5.75	1.29
	9.5	5.5	1.3
	9.6	5.6	1.29
	9.5	6.05	1.32
	11	5.5	1.27
	11.25	6	1.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	10.19 ↑ (7)	5.7 ↑ (4.69)	1.3 ↓ (1.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Greuther Fürth
9.4%

Draw
16.8%

Bayer Leverkusen
73.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.6%

20.2%

66.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.3%

19.8%

67.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Greuther Fürth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Bayer Leverkusen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bayer Leverkusen's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Greuther Fürth than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bayer Leverkusen than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bayer Leverkusen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Greuther Fürth - Bayer Leverkusen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Group Stage)).

Fürth has the most likely position - 18 (99.92%), has project points - 20, has currently - 17, has a very good chance of relegated (>99%), has not chance of qualify for ucl.

Bayer has the most likely position - 4 (58.71%), has project points - 59, has currently - 52, has not chance of relegated, has a good chance of qualify for ucl (75%), has not chance of win league.

This event has quality 61, importance 42, match rating 52. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Fürth is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Bayer is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Bayer is absolute favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Fürth won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Fürth won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Greuther Fürth
German Bundesliga
17.04.22	Hoffenheim - Greuther Fürth	0:0 ✺
09.04.22	Greuther Fürth - Borussia Mönchengladbach	0:2 ✺
02.04.22	Eintracht Frankfurt - Greuther Fürth	0:0 ✺
19.03.22	Greuther Fürth - Freiburg	0:0 ✺
13.03.22	Greuther Fürth - RB Leipzig	1:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.7 TLTTL
- Bayer Leverkusen
German Bundesliga
17.04.22	Bayer Leverkusen - RB Leipzig	0:1 ✺
10.04.22	Bochum - Bayer Leverkusen	0:0 ✺
02.04.22	Bayer Leverkusen - Hertha Berlin	2:1 ✺
20.03.22	Wolfsburg - Bayer Leverkusen	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
17.03.22	Bayer Leverkusen - Atalanta	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
04.12.21	Bayer Leverkusen - Greuther Fürth	7:1
Club Friendly
05.01.18	Bayer Leverkusen - Greuther Fürth	2:1
German Bundesliga
24.02.13	Greuther Fürth - Bayer Leverkusen	0:0
29.09.12	Bayer Leverkusen - Greuther Fürth	2:0

Upcoming Matches