Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 29

Date: 11 April 2025, Friday

Location: Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer (Fürth)

Referee: Alt P. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
Austria	Sky Go Austria
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Croatia	SportKlub 4
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 5
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, WOW
Hungary	Net4+
Iceland	Viaplay
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 2
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Sport TV1
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, Tivibu Spor 3
World	Onefootball


	Greuther Fürth		Köln

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.6	2	Watch
	3.4	3.4	2.15
	3.45	3.5	2.02	Watch
	3.62	3.46	2.06	Watch
	3.3	3.3	2.1
	3.79	3.54	1.98	Watch
	3.45	3.5	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.52 ↑ (3.2)	3.47 ↓ (3.7)	2.05 ↓ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Greuther Fürth
26.8%

Draw
27.2%

Köln
46%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.8%

25.8%

44.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1%

26%

44%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Greuther Fürth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Köln has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Greuther Fürth than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Köln than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.5%	2.7%	83.8%

Greuther Fürth - Köln Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Köln (1.28) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Köln (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS, 2nd Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Köln will win (31 of 36 users predict this - 86.11%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.81% – 97.41%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Köln will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Köln (votes: 13 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
44. Noll N. (G) 25. Loosli N. 15. Quarshie J. 27. Itter G. 11. Massimo R. 33. Dietz M. 37. Green J. 24. John M. 10. Hrgota B. 30. Klaus F. 9. Futkeu N.	1. Schwabe M. (G) 2. Schmied J. 6. Martel E. 24. Pauli J. 29. Thielmann J. 8. Huseinbasic D. 17. Paqarada L. 9. Waldschmidt L. 11. Kainz F. 27. Rondic I. 19. Lemperle T.
Substitutes
14. Consbruch J. 17. Giesselmann N. 31. Grill L. (G) 23. Jung G. 18. Meyerhofer M. 22. Motika N. 36. Muller P. 5. Munz R. 7. Srbeny D.	42. Downs D. 3. Heintz D. 46. Kujovic E. 7. Ljubicic D. 16. Obuz M. 47. Olesen M. 26. Racioppi A. (G) 21. Tigges S. 13. Uth M.
Coaches
Siewert J.	Struber G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
12', 1 - 0, Futkeu N. ⚽, Massimo R. (A),
13', Schmied J. 🟨,
38', Kainz F. 🟨,
45', 1 - 1, Waldschmidt L. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Rondic I. ↓, Downs D. ↑,
46', Kainz F. ↓, Ljubicic D. ↑,
56', Lemperle T. 🟨,
62', Waldschmidt L. ↓, Uth M. ↑,
69', Futkeu N. ↓, Consbruch J. ↑,
69', Pauli J. ↓, Olesen M. ↑,
70', Huseinbasic D. 🟨,
71', Uth M. 🟨,
79', Loosli N. ↓, Jung G. ↑,
82', Ljubicic D. 🟨,
88', Massimo R. ↓, Meyerhofer M. ↑,
88', Klaus F. ↓, Srbeny D. ↑,
89', Dietz M. 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 14 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Fürth won 0.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Köln will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Fürth: Banse S. (Knee Injury) Calhanoglu K. (Knee Injury) Green J. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Köln: Christensen J. (Knee Injury) Gazibegovic J. (Ankle Injury) Hubers T. (Illness) Kilian L. (Knee Injury) Maina L. (Ankle Injury) Telle N. (Illness)

Last 7 head-to-head matches Fürth won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3:14 (average 0.4:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Fürth won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:5 (average 0.3:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Greuther Fürth
German 2 Bundesliga
05.04.25	Darmstadt - Greuther Fürth	1:0 ✺
30.03.25	Greuther Fürth - Schalke 04	3:3 ✺
Club Friendly
20.03.25	Greuther Fürth - Jahn Regensburg	3:1 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
16.03.25	Nürnberg - Greuther Fürth	3:0 ✺
08.03.25	Greuther Fürth - Magdeburg	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LTWLT
- 1. FC Köln
German 2 Bundesliga
05.04.25	Köln - Hertha Berlin	0:1 ✺
29.03.25	Paderborn - Köln	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
20.03.25	Köln - Verl	1:2 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
15.03.25	Köln - Darmstadt	2:1 ✺
08.03.25	Ulm 1846 - Köln	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
09.11.24	Köln - Greuther Fürth	1:0
German Bundesliga
26.02.22	Greuther Fürth - Köln	1:1
01.10.21	Köln - Greuther Fürth	3:1
German 2 Bundesliga
06.05.19	Greuther Fürth - Köln	0:4
01.12.18	Köln - Greuther Fürth	4:0
24.02.14	Köln - Greuther Fürth	1:1
24.08.13	Greuther Fürth - Köln	0:0

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