Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 27

Date: 29 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Home Deluxe Arena (Paderborn)

Referee: Willenborg F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Albania	SuperSport 2
Argentina	Disney+, FOX Sports 2
Asia	TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	Sky Go Austria
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, WOW
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 2, Now Player
Hungary	Net4+
Iceland	Viaplay
Israel	Sport 4
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Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	DAZN 2
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Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	SportKlub 1
Singapore	beIN Sports 3
Slovakia	Sport TV2, Voyo
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
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Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Disney+, Onefootball


	Paderborn		Köln

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.3	3.3	Watch
	2	3.5	3.6
	2.12	3.4	3.3	Watch
	2.34	3.6	3.05
	2.17	3.46	3.33	Watch
	2	3.5	3
	2.17	3.5	3.27	Watch
	2.12	3.4	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.29)	3.46 ↑ (3.46)	3.27 ↑ (3.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paderborn
44%

Draw
27.2%

Köln
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

27.3%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

26.3%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paderborn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Köln has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paderborn than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Köln than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	4.5%	59.1%

Paderborn - Köln Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Paderborn will win (votes: 8 - 36.4%). Köln will win (votes: 13 - 59.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Köln: 38.6% – 79.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Riemann M. (G) 25. Scheller T. 20. Gotze F. 33. Hoffmeier M. 23. Obermair R. (C) 6. Mehlem M. 5. Castaneda S. 32. Zehnter A. 7. Bilbija F. 24. Terho C. 11. Michel S.	1. Schwabe M. (G) 2. Schmied J. 6. Martel E. (C) 17. Paqarada L. 29. Thielmann J. 47. Olesen M. 8. Huseinbasic D. 35. Finkgrafe M. 9. Waldschmidt L. 27. Rondic I. 19. Lemperle T.
Substitutes
29. Ansah I. 21. Bauerle A. 43. Ens M. 39. Grimaldi A. 22. Hansen M. 19. Herrmann L. 26. Klaas S. 42. Krumme K. 30. Schubert M. (G)	11. Kainz F. 46. Kujovic E. 16. Obuz M. 30. Ozkan M. 26. Racioppi A. (G) 39. Schmitt O. 49. Telle N. 21. Tigges S. 13. Uth M.
Coaches
Kwasniok L.	Struber G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', Schwabe M. 🟨,
25', Obermair R. (Pen),
34', 1 - 0, Mehlem M. ⚽, Bilbija F. (A),
42', 1 - 1, Rondic I. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', Bilbija F. 🟨,
61', 1 - 2, Huseinbasic D. ⚽, Waldschmidt L. (A),
62', Terho C. ↓, Grimaldi A. ↑,
62', Bilbija F. ↓, Hansen M. ↑,
69', Michel S. 🟨,
71', Mehlem M. ↓, Klaas S. ↑,
74', Huseinbasic D. ↓, Kainz F. ↑,
78', Gotze F. ↓, Ansah I. ↑,
80', Lemperle T. ↓, Tigges S. ↑,
81', Thielmann J. ↓, Telle N. ↑,
90', Finkgrafe M. ↓, Ozkan M. ↑,
90+7', Riemann M. 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Paderborn won 2.

Paderborn is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Köln is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Paderborn will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Paderborn: Brackelmann C. (Muscle Injury) Curda L. (Yellow Cards) Engelns L. (Knee Injury) Platte F. (Back Injury)

There will not play in Köln: Christensen J. (Knee Injury) Downs D. (Hand Injury) Gazibegovic J. (Ankle Injury) Heintz D. (Injury) Kilian L. (Knee Injury) Ljubicic D. (Yellow Cards) Maina L. (Injury)

There are questionable in Köln: Pauli J. (Concussion)

Last 13 head-to-head matches Paderborn won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 19:24 (average 1.5:1.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Paderborn won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11:10 (average 1.8:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Paderborn 07
Club Friendly
20.03.25	Hannover - Paderborn	0:1 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
15.03.25	Paderborn - Kaiserslautern	5:3 ✺
09.03.25	Jahn Regensburg - Paderborn	0:0 ✺
02.03.25	Paderborn - Hamburger SV	2:0 ✺
22.02.25	Hannover - Paderborn	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWTWT
- 1. FC Köln
Club Friendly
20.03.25	Köln - Verl	1:2 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
15.03.25	Köln - Darmstadt	2:1 ✺
08.03.25	Ulm 1846 - Köln	0:1 ✺
01.03.25	Karlsruher - Köln	1:0 ✺
23.02.25	Köln - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWWLT

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
25.10.24	Köln - Paderborn	1:2
Club Friendly
10.11.21	Köln - Paderborn	4:0
German Bundesliga
06.03.20	Paderborn - Köln	1:2
20.10.19	Köln - Paderborn	3:0
Club Friendly
21.03.19	Paderborn - Köln	5:3
German 2 Bundesliga
15.02.19	Paderborn - Köln	3:2
16.09.18	Köln - Paderborn	3:5

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