Match Info

GERMANY: 2. Bundesliga - Round 26

Date: 15 March 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: RheinEnergieStadion (Cologne) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Heft F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	16:30	Disney+
Asia	—	TOD
Australia	06:30	beIN Connect
Austria	20:30	Sky Go Austria
Bosnia And Herzegovina	20:30	Sportklub 7
Bulgaria	21:30	Nova Sport
Canada	15:30	DAZN Canada
Chile	16:30	Disney+
Colombia	14:30	Disney+
Croatia	20:30	SportKlub 7
Czech Republic	20:30	Nova Sport 6
Denmark	20:30	Viaplay
Finland	21:30	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay, V Sport+
Germany	20:30	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga, Sky Sport Top event, Sport 1, WOW
Greece	21:30	Nova Sports Start
Hong Kong	03:30	beIN Sports 2, Now Player
Hungary	20:30	Net4+
Iceland	19:30	Viaplay
Malaysia	03:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Malta	20:30	GO TV, TSN Malta 8
Montenegro	20:30	Sportklub 7
Netherlands	20:30	Viaplay
North Macedonia	20:30	Sportklub 7
Norway	20:30	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Peru	14:30	Disney+
Poland	20:30	Viaplay
Portugal	19:30	DAZN 2
Romania	21:30	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima Sport PPV 2
Serbia	20:30	SportKlub 7
Singapore	03:30	beIN Sport 1, StarHub TV+
Slovakia	20:30	Voyo
Slovenia	20:30	Sport TV1
Spain	20:30	DAZN Espana
Sweden	20:30	Viaplay
Switzerland	20:30	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Top Event, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	22:30	beIN Connect, Tivibu Spor 2
Uruguay	16:30	Disney+
Usa	15:30	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	15:30	Disney+
International	19:30	Disney+, Onefootball


	Köln		Darmstadt

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.6	4.2	Watch
	2	3.4	3.7
	1.84	3.5	4.1	Watch
	2.06	3.49	3.76
	1.87	3.59	4.24	Watch
	1.85	3.4	4.2
	1.87	3.6	4.21	Watch
	1.84	3.5	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.85)	3.51 ↓ (3.61)	4.06 ↑ (4.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Köln
49.9%

Draw
26.9%

Darmstadt
23.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50.7%

26%

23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4%

25.2%

22.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Köln has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Darmstadt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Köln than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Darmstadt than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.9%	0%	12.1%

Köln - Darmstadt Predictions

Users Predictions: Köln will win (29 of 33 users predict this - 87.88%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.74% – 99.02%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schwabe M. (G) 25. Gazibegovic J. 4. Hubers T. 3. Heintz D. 35. Finkgrafe M. 47. Olesen M. 6. Martel E. 29. Thielmann J. 9. Waldschmidt L. 11. Kainz F. 21. Tigges S.	1. Schuhen M. (G) 2. Lopez S. 38. Riedel C. 20. Vukotic A. 3. Bueno G. 34. Corredor K. 21. Papela M. 16. Muller A. 8. Marseiler L. 7. Lidberg I. 9. Hornby F.
Substitutes
8. Huseinbasic D. 19. Lemperle T. 7. Ljubicic D. 16. Obuz M. 17. Paqarada L. 26. Racioppi A. (G) 27. Rondic I. 2. Schmied J. 13. Uth M.	10. Boetius J-P. 30. Brunst A. (G) 14. Dreskovic M. 11. Kempe T. 19. Lakenmacher F. 5. Maglica M. 13. Thiede M.
Coaches
Struber G.	Kohfeldt F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
1', 1 - 0, Thielmann J. ⚽,
25', 1 - 1, Hornby F. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Olesen M. ↓, Rondic I. ↑,
46', Tigges S. ↓, Huseinbasic D. ↑,
46', Kainz F. ↓, Ljubicic D. ↑,
59', Hornby F. 🟨,
63', Marseiler L. ↓, Boetius J-P. ↑,
66', Hornby F. 🟨,
67', Ljubicic D. 🟨,
69', Gazibegovic J. ↓, Lemperle T. ↑,
79', 2 - 1, Waldschmidt L. (Pen),
80', Muller A. ↓, Maglica M. ↑,
86', Lopez S. ↓, Lakenmacher F. ↑,
87', Waldschmidt L. ↓, Uth M. ↑,
88', Kohfeldt F. 🟨,
90+9', Boetius J-P. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Köln won 2.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Köln could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Köln is a favorite.

There will not play in Köln: Christensen J. (Knee Injury) Kilian L. (Knee Injury) Maina L. (Injury)

There will not play in Darmstadt: Bader M. (Knee Injury) Holland F. (Knee Injury) Vilhelmsson O. (Knee Injury) Will P. (Knee Injury) Zimmermann C. (Knee Injury)

Last 9 head-to-head matches Köln won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 18:11 (average 2:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Köln won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:5 (average 1.8:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1. FC Köln
German 2 Bundesliga
08.03.25	Ulm 1846 - Köln	0:1 ✺
01.03.25	Karlsruher - Köln	1:0 ✺
23.02.25	Köln - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:1 ✺
14.02.25	Magdeburg - Köln	3:0 ✺
09.02.25	Köln - Schalke 04	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLTLW
- SV Darmstadt 98
German 2 Bundesliga
07.03.25	Darmstadt - Karlsruher	3:0 ✺
02.03.25	Magdeburg - Darmstadt	4:1 ✺
23.02.25	Darmstadt - Schalke 04	2:0 ✺
15.02.25	Eintracht Braunschweig - Darmstadt	1:0 ✺
08.02.25	Darmstadt - Elversberg	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
18.10.24	Darmstadt - Köln	5:1
German Bundesliga
20.04.24	Köln - Darmstadt	0:2
01.12.23	Darmstadt - Köln	0:1
German 2 Bundesliga
26.04.19	Köln - Darmstadt	1:2
24.11.18	Darmstadt - Köln	0:3
German Bundesliga
28.01.17	Darmstadt - Köln	1:6
27.08.16	Köln - Darmstadt	2:0

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