Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 24

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer (Fürth)

Referee: Kampka R. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Greuther Fürth		Schalke 04

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.9	1.7	Watch
	4.45	3.8	1.7	Watch
	4.83	4.09	1.74
	4.76	4.11	1.67	Watch
	4.5	3.75	1.67
	4.66	3.98	1.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.59 ↑ (4.25)	3.94 ↑ (3.6)	1.7 ↓ (1.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Greuther Fürth
20.5%

Draw
23.9%

Schalke 04
55.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.8%

25.7%

52.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.4%

25.2%

53.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Greuther Fürth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Schalke 04 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Greuther Fürth than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Schalke 04 than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	20%	80%

Greuther Fürth - Schalke 04 Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Schalke (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

DNB - Fürth (3.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Schalke 04 will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Fürth (votes: 1 - 50%). Schalke (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
43. Prufrock S. (G) 15. Elvedi J. 4. Ziereis P. 5. Munz R. 23. Dehm J. 33. Dietz M. 13. Will P. 16. Keller A. 7. Srbeny D. 10. Hrgota B. (C) 47. Ltaief S.	22. Muller K. (G) 5. Becker T. 25. Katic N. 4. Kurucay H. 16. N'Diaye M. 23. El-Faouzi S. 6. Schallenberg R. 21. Ljubicic D. 19. Karaman K. 24. Aouchiche A. 10. Dzeko E. (C)
Substitutes
28. Arifi D. 44. Avlayici M. 25. Bjarnason B. 26. Boevink P. (G) 11. Dardari A. 9. Futkeu N. 30. Klaus F. 38. Marita R. 2. Reich L.	47. Amoussou-Tchibara Z. 43. Ayhan M. 14. Bachmann J. 7. Gomis C. 37. Gruger M. 27. Porath F. 2. Sanchez F. 36. Siebeking J. (G) 35. Wallentowitz M.
Coaches
Vogel H.	Muslic M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Srbeny D. ⚽, Hrgota B. (A),
30', Ljubicic D. 🟨,
44', Hrgota B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', Dehm J. ↓, Reich L. ↑,
59', Ltaief S. ↓, Klaus F. ↑,
60', Kurucay H. 🟨,
74', Schallenberg R. ↓, Bachmann J. ↑,
75', Srbeny D. ↓, Futkeu N. ↑,
75', 1 - 1, Ljubicic D. ⚽,
81', Reich L. 🟨,
85', Aouchiche A. ↓, Porath F. ↑,
88', N'Diaye M. 🟨,
89', Katic N. 🟨,
90', Dietz M. ↓, Arifi D. ↑,
90', Keller A. ↓, Bjarnason B. ↑,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fürth won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Fürth may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Schalke is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Fürth: Abrangao D. (Muscle Injury) Banse S. (Knee Injury) Green J. (Ankle Injury) Itter G. (Muscle Injury) John M. (Muscle Injury) Klaus F. (Injury) Schlieck T. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Schalke: Becker V. (Knock) Hojlund E. (Heel Injury) Kalas T. (Lacking Match Fitness) Karius L. (Back Injury) Lasme B. (Knee Injury) Leonard D. (Ankle Injury) Matriciani H. (Knee Injury)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Fürth won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.9:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Fürth won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.7:1.7).

Outrights of German 2 Bundesliga for now

Greuther Furth: 0.4%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Greuther Furth	6	1	3	2	9:11	-2	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Greuther Fürth
German 2 Bundesliga
20.02.26	Greuther Fürth - Arminia Bielefeld	2:1 ✺
14.02.26	Kaiserslautern - Greuther Fürth	1:0 ✺
06.02.26	Greuther Fürth - Magdeburg	4:5 ✺
31.01.26	Holstein Kiel - Greuther Fürth	1:2 ✺
24.01.26	Greuther Fürth - Eintracht Braunschweig	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WLLWT
- Schalke 04
German 2 Bundesliga
21.02.26	Schalke 04 - Magdeburg	5:3 ✺
15.02.26	Holstein Kiel - Schalke 04	1:2 ✺
07.02.26	Schalke 04 - Dynamo Dresden	2:2 ✺
31.01.26	Bochum - Schalke 04	2:0 ✺
25.01.26	Schalke 04 - Kaiserslautern	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWTLT

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
26.09.25	Schalke 04 - Greuther Fürth	1:0
30.03.25	Greuther Fürth - Schalke 04	3:3
26.10.24	Schalke 04 - Greuther Fürth	3:4
19.05.24	Greuther Fürth - Schalke 04	2:0
15.12.23	Schalke 04 - Greuther Fürth	2:2
German Bundesliga
02.02.13	Schalke 04 - Greuther Fürth	1:2
15.09.12	Greuther Fürth - Schalke 04	0:2

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