Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 36

Date: 2 March 2024, Saturday

Location: Blundell Park (Cleethorpes)

Referee: Reeves T. (Eng)


	Grimsby Town		Forest Green Rovers

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.5	3.5
	2	3.5	3.5
	2.1	3.5	3.4
	2.13	3.45	3.25
	2.08	3.64	3.58
	2.05	3.6	3.3
	2.02	3.56	3.46	Watch
	1.99	3.5	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (2.02)	3.53 ↑ (3.47)	3.42 ↑ (3.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grimsby Town
45.8%

Draw
26.6%

Forest Green Rovers
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.9%

26.8%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.8%

27.3%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grimsby Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Forest Green Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Forest Green Rovers than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	11.1%	44.4%

Grimsby Town - Forest Green Rovers Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Grimsby will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Forest Green will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Grimsby: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cartwright H. (G) 28. Mullarkey T. 24. Tharme D. 5. Rodgers H. 33. Hume D. 15. Clifton H. 8. Holohan G. 19. Andrews J. 6. Thompson C. 25. Wilson D. 32. Rose D. (C)	39. Reyes V. (G) 15. Moore-Taylor J. (C) 36. Keogh R. 3. Bernard D. 16. Thompson D. 27. Bunker H. 8. McCann C. 17. Robson J. 7. McAllister K. 46. Osadebe E. 10. Doidge C.
Substitutes
12. Eastwood J. (G) 7. Eisa A. 14. Gnahoua A. 4. Green K. 9. Pyke R. 2. Smith L. 18. Wood H.	50. Hughes I. 4. Johnson D. 2. Lavinier M. 18. Maddox J. 77. Merrett W. 23. Omotoye T. 19. Robertson S. 20. Searle J. (G)
Coaches
Artell D.	Cotterill S.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Grimsby won 0.

Grimsby is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Forest Green is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Grimsby could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Grimsby will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 19 head-to-head matches Grimsby won 8 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 24-23.

Including matches at home between the teams Grimsby won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grimsby Town
English League Two
24.02.24	Morecambe - Grimsby Town	1:1 ✺
17.02.24	Grimsby Town - Doncaster Rovers	1:5 ✺
10.02.24	Grimsby Town - Stockport County	1:3 ✺
03.02.24	Accrington Stanley - Grimsby Town	0:0 ✺
27.01.24	Grimsby Town - Tranmere Rovers	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TLLTL
- Forest Green Rovers
English League Two
27.02.24	Forest Green Rovers - Wrexham	1:1 ✺
24.02.24	Forest Green Rovers - Tranmere Rovers	1:0 ✺
17.02.24	Crawley Town - Forest Green Rovers	2:0 ✺
13.02.24	Barrow - Forest Green Rovers	1:2 ✺
10.02.24	Forest Green Rovers - Mansfield Town	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
18.11.23	Forest Green Rovers - Grimsby Town	2:2
06.03.21	Grimsby Town - Forest Green Rovers	1:2
27.10.20	Forest Green Rovers - Grimsby Town	1:0
01.02.20	Grimsby Town - Forest Green Rovers	2:2
17.08.19	Forest Green Rovers - Grimsby Town	1:0
22.01.19	Forest Green Rovers - Grimsby Town	3:0
04.08.18	Grimsby Town - Forest Green Rovers	1:4

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