Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 21

Date: 27 February 2024, Tuesday

Location: The New Lawn (Nailsworth)

Referee: Finnie W. (Eng)


	Forest Green Rovers		Wrexham

	1	X	2
	4	3.6	1.91
	3.7	3.6	1.9
	4	3.6	1.9
	3.65	3.5	1.91
	4.05	3.68	1.93
	3.75	3.6	1.91
	3.75	3.68	1.9	Watch
	3.75	3.6	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.83 ↓ (4.68)	3.61 ↓ (3.98)	1.9 ↑ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Forest Green Rovers
24.5%

Draw
26%

Wrexham
49.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20%

23.6%

56.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.3%

22.8%

58.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Forest Green Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Wrexham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Wrexham might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Forest Green Rovers than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Forest Green Rovers that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Wrexham could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.3%	6.7%	80%

Forest Green Rovers - Wrexham Predictions

Users Predictions: Wrexham will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. James Belshaw . Jordan Moore Taylor 17. Jamie Robson 25. Fankaty Dabo 3. Dominic Bernard 7. Kyle McAllister 27. Harvey Bunker 6. Teddy Jenks 8. Charlie McCann 14. Troy Matthew Deeney 23. Tyrese Omotoye	33. Arthur Okonkwo 4. Ben Tozer 23. James McClean 5. Aaron Hayden 22. Thomas O'Connor 19. Jacob Mendy 12. George Evans 38. Elliott Lee 20. Andrew Cannon 9. Ollie Palmer 10. Paul Philip Mullin
Substitutes
28. Callum Jones 4. Darnell Johnson 20. Jamie Searle . Olly Sully 22. Reece Welch 5. Ryan Inniss 19. Sean Robertson	27. Jake Bickerstaff 30. James Jones 7. Jordan Davies 11. Liam McAlinden 21. Mark Stephen Howard 18. Sam Dalby 25. William Boyle
Coaches
Horseman D.	Parkinson P.

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Forest Green won 1.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Forest Green could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Forest Green have a series of home games.

In this match Wrexham is a favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Forest Green won 1 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Forest Green won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Forest Green Rovers
English League Two
24.02.24	Forest Green Rovers - Tranmere Rovers	1:0 ✺
17.02.24	Crawley Town - Forest Green Rovers	2:0 ✺
13.02.24	Barrow - Forest Green Rovers	1:2 ✺
10.02.24	Forest Green Rovers - Mansfield Town	0:4 ✺
03.02.24	Colchester United - Forest Green Rovers	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WLWLT
- Wrexham AFC
English League Two
24.02.24	Gillingham - Wrexham	1:0 ✺
20.02.24	Milton Keynes Dons - Wrexham	1:1 ✺
17.02.24	Wrexham - Notts County	1:0 ✺
13.02.24	Sutton United - Wrexham	1:2 ✺
10.02.24	Wrexham - Bradford City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
18.03.17	Forest Green Rovers - Wrexham	3:0
26.11.16	Wrexham - Forest Green Rovers	3:1
02.04.16	Forest Green Rovers - Wrexham	0:0
06.02.16	Wrexham - Forest Green Rovers	2:2
24.02.15	Wrexham - Forest Green Rovers	0:0
06.09.14	Forest Green Rovers - Wrexham	0:1
26.04.14	Forest Green Rovers - Wrexham	1:1

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