Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 40

Date: 7 April 2023, Friday

Location: Blundell Park (Cleethorpes)

Referee: Backhouse A. (Eng)


	Grimsby Town		Hartlepool United

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.5	4.5
	1.87	3.4	4.1
	1.8	3.4	4.5
	1.85	3.56	4.64
	1.83	3.4	4.33
	1.84	3.58	4.25	Watch
	1.83	3.4	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.73)	3.46 ↑ (3.4)	4.33 ↓ (5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grimsby Town
51.2%

Draw
27.1%

Hartlepool United
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.9%

27.4%

18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.7%

27%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grimsby Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Hartlepool United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hartlepool United than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	16.7%	16.7%

Grimsby Town - Hartlepool United Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Grimsby will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Hartlepool will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Grimsby has the most likely position - 13 (14.53%), project points - 59, currently - 48, a very small chance of relegated (<1%), a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), not chance of win league.

Hartlepool has the most likely position - 23 (49.94%), project points - 42, currently - 35, a good chance of relegated (64%), not chance of prom. playoffs.

This event has very small quality 8, importance 32, small match rating 20. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Grimsby is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Hartlepool is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Hartlepool could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Grimsby have a series of guest games.

In this match Grimsby is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Grimsby won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Grimsby won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grimsby Town
English League Two
01.04.23	Bradford City - Grimsby Town	3:2 ✺
28.03.23	Crawley Town - Grimsby Town	1:1 ✺
25.03.23	Grimsby Town - Walsall	1:1 ✺
22.03.23	Mansfield Town - Grimsby Town	0:0 ✺
English FA Cup
19.03.23	Brighton & Hove Albion - Grimsby Town	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LTTTL
- Hartlepool United
English League Two
01.04.23	Hartlepool United - Swindon Town	2:1 ✺
25.03.23	Hartlepool United - Leyton Orient	1:1 ✺
18.03.23	Bradford City - Hartlepool United	2:2 ✺
11.03.23	Hartlepool United - Northampton Town	1:1 ✺
04.03.23	Tranmere Rovers - Hartlepool United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.3 WTTTT

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
29.10.22	Hartlepool United - Grimsby Town	2:1
07.01.17	Hartlepool United - Grimsby Town	0:1
01.10.16	Grimsby Town - Hartlepool United	0:3

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