The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Hartlepool United 35.7%
Draw 28.1%
Swindon Town 36.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.8%
28.9%
41.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.7%
28.8%
41.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hartlepool United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hartlepool United's performance.
Swindon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Swindon Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hartlepool United than the current prediction. (-6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hartlepool United that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Swindon Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
11.1%
55.6%
Hartlepool United - Swindon Town Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Hartlepool will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Swindon will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Swindon: 23.1% – 88.1%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 11).
Hartlepool has the most likely position - 23 (63.66%), project points - 40, currently - 32, a good chance of relegated (80%), not chance of prom. playoffs.
Swindon has the most likely position - 10 (18.45%), project points - 65, currently - 51, a very small chance of relegated (<1%), a small chance of prom. playoffs (6%), a very small chance of promoted (2%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has very small quality9, small importance28, small match rating18. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Recent matches Hartlepool is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Swindon is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Hartlepool won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-9.
Including matches at home between the teams Hartlepool won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.
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