The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Newport County 28.9%
Draw 26.4%
York City 44.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
27%
24.7%
48.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.2%
24%
46.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Newport County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
York City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for York City than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
42.9%
0%
57.1%
Newport County - York City Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Newport will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). York will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. York (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Wright J. (G) 22. Norman C. 5. Jenkins L. 4. Cameron K. (C) 16. Jacob M. 24. Dibley-Dias M. 6. Brennan C. 21. Nyakuhwa T. 10. Biggins H. 20. Bamba Y. 9. Gwengwe S.
1. McNally A. (G) 2. Fallowfield R. (C) 5. Johnson Z. 3. Kitching M. 23. Felix J. 8. Hunt A. 28. Banks O. 12. Boyes H. 7. Grey J. 10. Pearce O. 18. Malcolm J.
Substitutes
23. Adu Poku M. 28. Etete K. 7. Evans K. 19. Garner G. 33. MacDonald S. (G) 34. Sassi D. 8. Smith M.
32. Hunt J. 15. King J. 11. Maguire F. 30. Newby A. 6. Palmer A. 16. Read A. 31. Sykes-Kenworthy G. (G)
Coaches
Mullins H.
Lindsey S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Pearce O. ⚽, Hunt A. (A),
17', Dibley-Dias M. 🟨,
24', Malcolm J. 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Jacob M. ↓, Smith M. ↑,
47', Pearce O. 🟨,
52', Dibley-Dias M. ↓, Etete K. ↑,
53', Grey J. 🟨,
54', 1 - 1, Etete K. ⚽, Nyakuhwa T. (A),
55', Felix J. ↓, Hunt J. ↑,
72', Pearce O. ↓, Maguire F. ↑,
72', Hunt A. ↓, Read A. ↑,
72', Grey J. ↓, Newby A. ↑,
76', Nyakuhwa T. ↓, Garner G. ↑,
76', Bamba Y. ↓, Evans K. ↑,
79', Biggins H. 🟨,
82', Fallowfield R. ↓, Palmer A. ↑,
87', Etete K. 🟨,
89', Gwengwe S. ↓, Adu Poku M. ↑,
Preview
A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 12th and 5th in the Promotion - League Two Playoffs - Semi - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newport won 3.
Newport is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
York has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
York could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, York has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with York holding a narrow advantage.
Confirmed absences for Newport: Crole J.
(Inactive)
Davies T.
(Inactive)
Etete K.
(Inactive)
Patten K.
(Inactive).
Confirmed absences for York: Boateng H.
(Inactive)
Hewitt C.
(Inactive)
Medley Z.
(Inactive)
Williams M.
(Inactive).
Doubtful / questionable for Newport: Evans K.
(Inactive)
Thomas J.
(Inactive).
Doubtful / questionable for York: Stones J.
(Inactive).
In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Newport has recorded 5 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 9:5 (averaging 1.1:0.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Newport against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 6:4 goals (averaging 1.5:1 per game).
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Wright J. (G) 
Jenkins L. 
Cameron K. (C) 
Dibley-Dias M. 
Brennan C. 
Bamba Y. 
