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Current Win Probability
York City 46.9%
Draw 27%
Port Vale 26%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
49.4%
26.5%
24.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.5%
26.5%
24%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
York City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
Port Vale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for York City than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (-2%)
York City - Port Vale Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. McNally A. (G) 2. Fallowfield R. (C) 5. Johnson Z. 3. Kitching M. 32. Hunt J. 8. Hunt A. 28. Banks O. 12. Boyes H. 16. Read A. 11. Maguire F. 10. Pearce O.
20. Marosi M. (G) 25. Humphreys C. 4. Moon J. 2. Kyle John 6. Lawrence-Gabriel J. 10. Dempsey K. 38. Walters R. 7. Byers G. (C) 3. Headley J. 14. Lynch O. 24. Figueroa K.
Substitutes
21. Boateng H. 23. Felix J. 15. King J. 30. Newby A. 9. Stones J. 31. Sykes-Kenworthy G. (G) 24. Williams M.
27. Asamoah M. 33. Hall G. 11. Hernandez O. 12. McGowan A. 22. Montsma L. 1. Smith J. (G) 36. Watters M.
Coaches
Lindsey S.
Brady J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
54', 1 - 0, Johnson Z. ⚽, Hunt A. (A),
61', 2 - 0, Hunt A. ⚽,
63', Hunt J. ↓, Felix J. ↑,
63', Maguire F. ↓, Newby A. ↑,
67', Lynch O. ↓, Watters M. ↑,
67', Lawrence-Gabriel J. ↓, Hernandez O. ↑,
67', Walters R. ↓, Hall G. ↑,
69', Figueroa K. ↓, Asamoah M. ↑,
71', Hunt A. ↓, Boateng H. ↑,
80', Banks O. ↓, Stones J. ↑,
84', Dempsey K. 🟨,
Preview
A clear contrast in standings as an upper-tier team meets a relegation-threatened side (ranked 6th in the Promotion - League Two Playoffs - Semi - finals and 20th).
York has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Port Vale is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Recently, York has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.
York is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
Confirmed absences for York: Hewitt C.
(Inactive)
Medley Z.
(Inactive).
Confirmed absences for Port Vale: Faal M.
(Inactive).
Doubtful / questionable for York: Stones J.
(Inactive).
Doubtful / questionable for Port Vale: Craig M.
(Injury)
Simpson T.
(Inactive).
In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, York has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 2:4 (averaging 1:2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for York against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 0:2 goals.
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
5
York City
13
5
5
3
22:16
6
20
23
Port Vale
11
3
3
5
6:12
-6
12
Outrights of English League Two for now
York City: 10.68% Port Vale: 5.03%
Last Results with these Odds
York City - the odds 1.86 are the expected chance of winning is 49.43%, but this team recently wins 62% of matches with these odds.
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McNally A. (G) 
Marosi M. (G) 
Byers G. (C) 
Figueroa K. 
Hernandez O. 
Montsma L. 
Brady J. 
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