Match Info

Eerste Divisie - Round 26

Date: 6 February 2026, Friday

Location: De Vijverberg (Doetinchem)

Referee: Gerrets L. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 4


	De Graafschap		Jong Ajax

	1	X	2
	1.39	5.5	5.5	Watch
	1.41	5.4	5.9	Watch
	1.42	5.32	6.22
	1.43	5.17	5.82	Watch
	1.4	5	5.75
	1.42	5.49	5.49	Watch
	1.41	5	5.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↑ (1.31)	5.27 ↓ (5.37)	5.78 ↓ (7.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

De Graafschap
66.1%

Draw
17.7%

Jong Ajax
16.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.9%

17.1%

13%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

De Graafschap has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Jong Ajax has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.6%	7.7%	7.7%

De Graafschap - Jong Ajax Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 - Jong Ajax (2.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: De Graafschap will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): De Graafschap will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Graafschap (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Jong Ajax (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Wieggers T. (G) 2. Martens N. 18. Bultman S. 15. Kok T. 5. Schoppema L. 24. Meerstadt J. 10. Niemeijer R. (C) 8. Gijselhart T. 17. Kaninda N. 9. Eggens N. 22. de Jong F.	1. Reverson P. (G) 2. Appiah A. 3. van der Lans M. (C) 4. Johnson J. 5. Butera E. 10. Ouazane A. 6. Peters T. 8. Abdella M. 7. van der Vaart D. 9. Vink S. 11. O'Niel D.
Substitutes
27. Ahmeti N. 20. Braem T. 32. Broker S. 38. Eijken D. 29. Grotenhuis T. 25. Jonkers R. (G) 12. Kremers S. (G) 40. Kwint K. 7. Simons J. 6. Smits M. 21. Symons K.	18. Beekman L. 12. el Hani A. (G) 17. Jetten L. 21. Kalokoh D. 15. Kasanwirjo K. 23. Messori L. 16. Muzungu M. 22. Nash P. 20. Ouazane Z. 19. Romers T.
Coaches
Dijkhuizen M.	Weijs W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Niemeijer R. ⚽, Kaninda N. (A),
24', Butera E. 🟨,
45', van der Vaart D. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Appiah A. ↓, Kasanwirjo K. ↑,
47', 2 - 0, Eggens N. ⚽, Kaninda N. (A),
55', 3 - 0, Eggens N. ⚽, de Jong F. (A),
61', Martens N. ↓, Symons K. ↑,
61', Gijselhart T. ↓, Eijken D. ↑,
69', Kasanwirjo K. ↓, Beekman L. ↑,
70', Peters T. ↓, Ouazane Z. ↑,
70', Kaninda N. ↓, Simons J. ↑,
70', Eggens N. ↓, Kwint K. ↑,
75', 4 - 0, Kwint K. ⚽, Simons J. (A),
78', Niemeijer R. ↓, Smits M. ↑,
79', O'Niel D. ↓, Kalokoh D. ↑,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 20).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, De Graafschap won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

De Graafschap may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, De Graafschap is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, De Graafschap won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 38:35. (average 1.9:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, De Graafschap won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:15. (average 2.1:1.5).

Outrights of Dutch Eerste Divisie for now

De Graafschap: 0.81% Jong Ajax: 0.25%

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	De Graafschap	10	3	2	5	13:23	-10	11
18	Jong Ajax	10	2	2	6	13:25	-12	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- De Graafschap
Dutch Eerste Divisie
31.01.26	Helmond Sport - De Graafschap	0:0 ✺
26.01.26	De Graafschap - Den Bosch	1:1 ✺
23.01.26	De Graafschap - Waalwijk	2:4 ✺
18.01.26	Almere City - De Graafschap	2:0 ✺
20.12.25	FC Oss - De Graafschap	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 TTLLW
- Jong Ajax
Dutch Eerste Divisie
02.02.26	Jong Ajax - Willem II	2:1 ✺
19.01.26	Jong Ajax - Roda	2:2 ✺
12.01.26	Jong AZ Alkmaar - Jong Ajax	1:2 ✺
22.12.25	Jong Ajax - Waalwijk	0:2 ✺
12.12.25	MVV Maastricht - Jong Ajax	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
03.10.25	Jong Ajax - De Graafschap	2:2
19.04.25	De Graafschap - Jong Ajax	2:0
09.12.24	Jong Ajax - De Graafschap	2:0
11.03.24	De Graafschap - Jong Ajax	0:2
21.08.23	Jong Ajax - De Graafschap	1:2
13.01.23	De Graafschap - Jong Ajax	3:0
22.08.22	Jong Ajax - De Graafschap	5:1

De Graafschap - Jong Ajax: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide