Match Info

NETHERLANDS: EERSTE DIVISIE - ROUND 5

Date: 18 September 2023, Monday

Location: Euroborg (Groningen)

Referee: Rozendal J. (Ned)


	Groningen		Jong PSV

	1	X	2
	1.25	6.5	11
	1.22	6.5	12	Watch
	1.24	6.84	11.38
	1.18	6	8.5
	1.22	6.6	11.5	Watch
	1.22	6.2	9.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.22 ↓ (1.4)	6.44 ↑ (4.2)	10.7 ↑ (5.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Groningen
76.7%

Draw
14.5%

Jong PSV
8.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.5%

21.2%

15.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.1%

22.1%

14.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Groningen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Groningen's performance.

Jong PSV has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jong PSV might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Groningen than the current prediction. (-10.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Groningen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong PSV than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jong PSV could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	18.7%	18.7%

Groningen - Jong PSV Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Groningen will win (votes: 10 - 62.5%). Jong PSV will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Groningen: 38.8% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Verrips M. (G) 5. Rente M. 12. Balker R. 43. Peersman M. 18. Maatta I. 22. Emeran N. 7. Hove J. 8. Bacuna L. 11. Abraham P. 9. van Veen K. 40. Valente L.	1. Peersman K. (G) 2. Kwaaitaal J. 3. Dagasan M. 4. Jimenez M. 5. Van de Riet R. 6. van den Heuvel T. 10. Nassoh M. 8. Gilbert D. 7. Houben I. 9. Uneken J. 11. Bawuah J.
Substitutes
20. Blokzijl T. 47. de Jonge T. 10. Irandust D. 21. Jurjus H. (G) 17. Lien K. 44. Meijster J. (G) 24. Musampa Nordin N. 4. Pelupessy J. 50. Prins W. 14. Schreuders J. 42. Turay F. 25. van Bergen T.	24. Bos F. 20. de Guzman J. 26. Evripidou K. 15. Gil y Muinos Y. 23. Heylen J. (G) 16. Markdal M. (G) 19. van Duiven R. 14. van Hoogen S. 18. Verkooijen N. 21. Zimuangana O.
Coaches
Lukkien D.	Boessen W.

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Relegation ~ Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Relegation ~ Play Offs: )).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Groningen could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Groningen is certain favorite.

There will not play in Jong PSV: Steur R. (Shoulder Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Groningen
Dutch Eerste Divisie
15.09.23	Groningen - ADO Den Haag	0:1 ✺
01.09.23	FC Oss - Groningen	0:2 ✺
27.08.23	Groningen - Willem II	0:0 ✺
21.08.23	Jong Utrecht - Groningen	1:0 ✺
11.08.23	Groningen - Jong Ajax	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWTLW
- Jong PSV
Dutch Eerste Divisie
15.09.23	Jong PSV - De Graafschap	1:3 ✺
English Premier League International Cup
11.09.23	Nottingham Forest U21 - Jong PSV	1:3 ✺
Dutch Eerste Divisie
01.09.23	Den Bosch - Jong PSV	1:2 ✺
28.08.23	Jong PSV - Helmond Sport	2:1 ✺
18.08.23	FC Oss - Jong PSV	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LWWWL

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