Match Info

Eredivisie - Round 33

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Euroborg (Groningen) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Bos A. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	11:45	Disney+
Brazil	11:45	Disney+
Chile	10:45	Disney+
Colombia	09:45	Disney+
Greece	17:45	Nova Sports Start
Japan	23:45	U-NEXT
Mexico	08:45	Disney+
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
Peru	09:45	Disney+
Uruguay	11:45	Disney+
Usa	10:45	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	10:45	Disney+
International	14:45	Onefootball, Triller TV+


	Groningen		NEC Nijmegen

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.8	2.2	Watch
	2.8	4	2.2
	2.95	3.7	2.25
	2.84	3.82	2.38
	2.82	3.6	2.38	Watch
	2.8	3.6	2.15
	2.97	3.85	2.24	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↑ (2.75)	3.77 ↑ (3.68)	2.26 ↓ (2.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Groningen
33%

Draw
25.1%

NEC Nijmegen
41.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.3%

25.7%

40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.2%

25.6%

40.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Groningen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

NEC Nijmegen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Groningen than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for NEC Nijmegen than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	40%	40%

Groningen - NEC Nijmegen Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Groningen will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Nijmegen will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nijmegen: 9.6% – 70.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Nijmegen (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Nijmegen (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vaessen E. (G) 5. Rente M. (C) 3. Blokzijl T. 4. Janse D. 43. Peersman M. 8. de Jonge T. 18. Land T. 10. Taha Y. 17. van der Werff D. 14. Schreuders J. 26. van Bergen T.	1. Crettaz G. (G) 14. Dasa E. 17. Nuytinck B. 24. Fonville D. 25. Ouaissa S. 6. Nejasmic D. 3. Sandler P. 20. Lebreton N. 23. Sano K. 10. Chery T. (C) 30. Linssen B.
Substitutes
22. Bouland S. 44. Dillema J. 7. Hernes T. 21. Jurjus H. (G) 27. Mendes R. 16. Mercera T. 34. Metu R. 2. Prins W. 20. Seuntjens M. 13. Stubljar L. (G) 15. van der Laan E. 9. Willumsson B.	22. Cillessen J. (G) 9. Danilo Pereira 34. El Kachati Y. 8. Hansen-Aaroen I. 7. Misidjan V. 18. Ogawa K. 11. Onal B. 5. Ouwejan T. 2. Pereira B. 71. Proper D. 15. Willems J. 19. Willumsson W. T.
Coaches
Lukkien D.	Schreuder D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
44', de Jonge T. 🟨,
45+3', 1 - 0, Rente M. ⚽, Taha Y. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', 2 - 0, Land T. ⚽, Taha Y. (A),
60', Nuytinck B. ↓, Danilo Pereira ↑,
60', Dasa E. ↓, Onal B. ↑,
60', Sandler P. ↓, Pereira B. ↑,
66', Linssen B. 🟨,
69', Taha Y. ↓, Hernes T. ↑,
69', van der Werff D. ↓, Prins W. ↑,
71', Linssen B. ↓, El Kachati Y. ↑,
71', Chery T. ↓, Ogawa K. ↑,
76', 2 - 1, Nejasmic D. ⚽, Ouaissa S. (A),
82', Land T. ↓, Metu R. ↑,
90+4', Blokzijl T. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Groningen won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Groningen: Jurjus H. (Inactive) Resink S. (Knee Injury) Zawada O. (Arm Injury)

There will not play in Nijmegen: Entius F. (Knee Injury) Kaplan A. (Inactive) Onal B. (Injury)

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Groningen won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 24:35. (average 1.3:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Groningen won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:14. (average 1.6:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Groningen	10	4	3	3	24:21	3	15
12	Nijmegen	10	2	5	3	17:18	-1	11

Outrights of Dutch Eredivisie for now

Groningen: 0.21% Nijmegen: 0.17%

Last Results with these Odds

NEC Nijmegen - the odds 2.36 are the expected chance of winning is 40.01%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Groningen
Dutch Eredivisie
02.05.26	Groningen - Excelsior	2:3 ✺
25.04.26	Feyenoord - Groningen	3:1 ✺
11.04.26	Groningen - Go Ahead Eagles	0:0 ✺
04.04.26	Telstar - Groningen	0:2 ✺
22.03.26	Groningen - AZ Alkmaar	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LLTWW
- NEC Nijmegen
Dutch Eredivisie
02.05.26	NEC Nijmegen - Telstar	1:1 ✺
25.04.26	Twente - NEC Nijmegen	1:1 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
19.04.26	AZ Alkmaar - NEC Nijmegen	5:1 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
12.04.26	NEC Nijmegen - Feyenoord	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	Excelsior - NEC Nijmegen	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
09.11.25	NEC Nijmegen - Groningen	2:0
Club Friendly
19.07.25	Groningen - NEC Nijmegen	1:2
Dutch Eredivisie
08.02.25	Groningen - NEC Nijmegen	2:1
03.11.24	NEC Nijmegen - Groningen	6:0
25.04.23	Groningen - NEC Nijmegen	0:1
26.08.22	NEC Nijmegen - Groningen	1:1
12.03.22	Groningen - NEC Nijmegen	4:3

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