Match Info

Eredivisie - Round 29

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday

Location: BUKO Stadion (Velsen-Zuid)

Referee: van der Laan J. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN


	Telstar		Groningen

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.6	2.55	Watch
	2.68	3.55	2.52
	2.7	3.85	2.54
	2.62	3.74	2.48	Watch
	2.5	3.5	2.4
	2.68	3.67	2.6	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↑ (2.56)	3.65 ↓ (3.7)	2.52 ↑ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Telstar
36.1%

Draw
26.1%

Groningen
37.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.9%

25.5%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

25.9%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Telstar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Groningen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Telstar than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Groningen than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
38.5%	38.5%	23.1%

Telstar - Groningen Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Telstar will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Groningen will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 38.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Telstar: 12% – 65%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Telstar (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Koeman R. (G) 14. Ogidi Nwankwo N. 21. Koswal D. 6. Bakker D. (C) 27. Brouwer P. 23. Hatenboer C. 4. Offerhaus G. 2. Hardeveld J. 37. van Duijn S. 8. Owusu T. 19. Thorisson N.	1. Vaessen E. (G) 5. Rente M. (C) 3. Blokzijl T. 4. Janse D. 43. Peersman M. 8. de Jonge T. 18. Land T. 10. Taha Y. 17. van der Werff D. 14. Schreuders J. 26. van Bergen T.
Substitutes
13. Bodak T. (G) 7. Hetli S. 11. Noslin T. 28. Oudsten R. 20. Reiziger D. (G) 39. Ritmeester van de Kamp J. 17. Rossen N. 9. Seedorf J. 30. Tejan K.	24. Baron D. (G) 22. Bouland S. 44. Dillema J. 7. Hernes T. 27. Mendes R. 16. Mercera T. 34. Metu R. 2. Prins W. 20. Seuntjens M. 13. Stubljar L. (G) 15. van der Laan E. 9. Willumsson B.
Coaches
Correia A.	Lukkien D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', Vaessen E. 🟨,
28', Thorisson N. ↓, Hetli S. ↑,
32', 0 - 1, Janse D. ⚽, Land T. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Koswal D. ↓, Noslin T. ↑,
52', van Bergen T. 🟨,
70', van der Werff D. ↓, Willumsson B. ↑,
73', Owusu T. ↓, Ritmeester van de Kamp J. ↑,
73', Hatenboer C. ↓, Tejan K. ↑,
87', van Duijn S. ↓, Seedorf J. ↑,
90+5', 0 - 2, Schreuders J. ⚽, van Bergen T. (A),

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 10).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Telstar: Lechkar A. (Muscle Injury) Ogidi Nwankwo N. (Inactive)

There will not play in Groningen: Hoekstra M. (Injury) Resink S. (Knee Injury) Zawada O. (Injury)

There are questionable in Telstar: Ritmeester van de Kamp J. (Inactive) Rossen N. (Inactive) Thorisson N. (Injury)

There are questionable in Groningen: Taha Y. (Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Telstar won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.3:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Telstar won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Groningen	7	3	2	2	15:13	2	11
13	Telstar	7	1	2	4	5:12	-7	5

Last Results with these Odds

Groningen - the odds 2.51 are the expected chance of winning is 37.61%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Telstar
Dutch Eredivisie
22.03.26	Telstar - PSV Eindhoven	3:1 ✺
14.03.26	Heerenveen - Telstar	3:0 ✺
08.03.26	Fortuna Sittard - Telstar	1:4 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
04.03.26	AZ Alkmaar - Telstar	2:1 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
27.02.26	Telstar - NAC Breda	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.9 WLWLW
- FC Groningen
Dutch Eredivisie
22.03.26	Groningen - AZ Alkmaar	3:0 ✺
13.03.26	Zwolle - Groningen	1:1 ✺
07.03.26	Groningen - Ajax	3:1 ✺
01.03.26	Volendam - Groningen	3:2 ✺
22.02.26	Twente - Groningen	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
20.09.25	Groningen - Telstar	2:0
Dutch Eerste Divisie
03.05.24	Telstar - Groningen	1:1
08.12.23	Groningen - Telstar	2:0

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