Match Info

Eredivisie - Round 31

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday

Location: De Grolsch Veste (Enschede)

Referee: Kooij J. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	U-NEXT
Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN


	Twente		NEC Nijmegen

	1	X	2
	1.65	4.33	4.6	Watch
	1.65	4.25	4.65
	1.66	4.4	4.92
	1.64	4.34	4.67	Watch
	1.62	4	4.5
	1.67	4.38	4.68	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.97)	4.28 ↑ (3.94)	4.67 ↑ (3.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Twente
57.5%

Draw
22.1%

NEC Nijmegen
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.7%

23.9%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

23.5%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Twente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Twente's performance.

NEC Nijmegen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and NEC Nijmegen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Twente than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Twente that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for NEC Nijmegen than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that NEC Nijmegen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	26.7%	40%

Twente - NEC Nijmegen Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Twente will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%). Nijmegen will win (votes: 6 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nijmegen: 15.2% – 64.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Twente (votes: 1 - 50%). Nijmegen (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 - Nijmegen (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Twente (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Nijmegen (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Unnerstall L. (G) 28. van Rooij B. (C) 23. Lemkin S. 43. Nijstad R. 39. Rots M. 6. Zerrouki R. 20. van den Belt T. 11. Rots D. 14. Hlynsson K. 27. Orjasaeter S. 10. Lammers S.	1. Crettaz G. (G) 14. Dasa E. 3. Sandler P. 17. Nuytinck B. 25. Ouaissa S. 23. Sano K. 6. Nejasmic D. 24. Fonville D. 10. Chery T. (C) 20. Lebreton N. 30. Linssen B.
Substitutes
8. Booth T. 38. Bruns M. 21. Karssies S. (G) 4. Kjolo M. 12. Peixoto G. 7. Pjaca M. 3. Propper R. 22. Tyton P. (G) 9. van Wolfswinkel R. 25. Vennegoor of Hesselink L. 32. Verschueren A. 42. Weidmann D.	22. Cillessen J. (G) 9. Danilo Pereira 34. El Kachati Y. 8. Hansen-Aaroen I. 31. Janse R. (G) 7. Misidjan V. 18. Ogawa K. 5. Ouwejan T. 2. Pereira B. 71. Proper D. 15. Willems J. 19. Willumsson W. T.
Coaches
van den Brom J.	Schreuder D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 1 - 0, Orjasaeter S. ⚽, Rots D. (A),
18', Lebreton N. 🟨,
26', Fonville D. 🟨,
37', 1 - 1, Linssen B. ⚽, Sandler P. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
66', Lammers S. ↓, van Wolfswinkel R. ↑,
66', Nijstad R. ↓, Propper R. ↑,
66', Nuytinck B. ↓, Proper D. ↑,
77', van den Belt T. ↓, Weidmann D. ↑,
78', Hlynsson K. ↓, Kjolo M. ↑,
79', Rots M. 🟨,
85', Linssen B. ↓, Danilo Pereira ↑,
87', Rots M. ↓, Verschueren A. ↑,
90+2', Chery T. ↓, Pereira B. ↑,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Twente won 3.

Twente is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Nijmegen's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Nijmegen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Twente is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Twente: Hilgers M. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Nijmegen: Kaplan A. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Nijmegen: Onal B. (Injury)

We predict that Twente will win today's game, with odds of 1.77.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Twente won 12 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 44:28. (average 2.2:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Twente won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 26:11. (average 2.6:1.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Twente	8	5	2	1	16:8	8	17
11	Nijmegen	8	2	3	3	13:14	-1	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Twente
Dutch Eredivisie
10.04.26	Twente - Volendam	2:1 ✺
04.04.26	Ajax - Twente	1:2 ✺
21.03.26	Fortuna Sittard - Twente	1:2 ✺
15.03.26	Twente - Utrecht	0:2 ✺
08.03.26	Go Ahead Eagles - Twente	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWWLW
- NEC Nijmegen
Dutch KNVB Beker
19.04.26	AZ Alkmaar - NEC Nijmegen	5:1 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
12.04.26	NEC Nijmegen - Feyenoord	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	Excelsior - NEC Nijmegen	0:2 ✺
22.03.26	NEC Nijmegen - Heerenveen	2:2 ✺
14.03.26	PSV Eindhoven - NEC Nijmegen	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 LTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
18.10.25	NEC Nijmegen - Twente	3:3
22.05.25	Twente - NEC Nijmegen	3:2 ET
23.02.25	Twente - NEC Nijmegen	2:0
10.08.24	NEC Nijmegen - Twente	1:2
20.01.24	NEC Nijmegen - Twente	1:0
11.11.23	Twente - NEC Nijmegen	3:3
12.05.23	Twente - NEC Nijmegen	4:0

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