Match Info
Eredivisie - Round 32Date: 2 May 2026, SaturdayLocation: Euroborg (Groningen)Referee: Oostrom I. (Ned)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 3 |
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Groningen |
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Excelsior |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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1.73 |
4 |
4.5 |
 Watch |
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1.68 |
4.1 |
4.6 |
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1.75 |
3.95 |
4.45 |
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1.75 |
4.11 |
4.67 |
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1.73 |
4.11 |
4.36 |
Watch |
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1.7 |
3.8 |
4.2 |
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1.75 |
4.07 |
4.46 |
Watch |
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.73 ↓
(1.76) |
4.02 ↓
(4.03) |
4.46 ↑
(4.45) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
- The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Groningen
55% | Draw
23.7% | Excelsior
21.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Groningen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)Excelsior has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)The ML Model estimate for Groningen aligns with the current prediction.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Excelsior than the current prediction. (+0.1%)Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Groningen will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Excelsior will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Groningen: 29.6% – 90.4%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -1.5 - Groningen (2.65) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Groningen (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
1.  Vaessen E. (G)
5.  Rente M. (C)
3.  Blokzijl T.
4. Janse D.
43.  Peersman M.
18. Land T.
8. de Jonge T.
10.  Taha Y.
17. van der Werff D.
14. Schreuders J.
26. van Bergen T.
| 1. van Gassel S. (G)
3. Meissen R.
4.  Widell C. (C)
14. Schouten L.
12.  Zagre A.
10. Naujoks N.
20. Hartjes L.
23.  Yegoian I.
30. Sanches Fernandes D.
11. de Regt G.
7. Hansson E.
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| Substitutes |
24. Baron D. (G)
44. Dillema J.
7.  Hernes T.
27.  Mendes R.
16.  Mercera T.
34. Metu R.
2. Prins W.
20. Seuntjens M.
13.  Stubljar L. (G)
15. van der Laan E.
9.  Willumsson B.
| 33. Bergraaf J.
2. Bronkhorst I.
24. Cairo G.
6. Carlen A.
15. Janssen S.
16. Raatsie C. (G)
29. van Duinen M.
9.  Wlodarczyk S.
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| Coaches |
Lukkien D.
| den Uil R.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 3', 1 - 0, de Jonge T. ⚽, van der Werff D. (A),
- 40', 1 - 1, Widell C. ⚽, Hansson E. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 47', 2 - 1, Taha Y. ⚽, de Jonge T. (A),
- 56', van der Werff D. ↓, Metu R. ↑,
- 60', Hansson E. ↓, Wlodarczyk S. ↑,
- 65', 2 - 2, Sanches Fernandes D. ⚽, Meissen R. (A),
- 71', Land T. ↓, Willumsson B. ↑,
- 77', Hartjes L. ↓, Carlen A. ↑,
- 77', Naujoks N. ↓, Bergraaf J. ↑,
- 85', Sanches Fernandes D. ↓, Bronkhorst I. ↑,
- 87', Taha Y. ↓, Seuntjens M. ↑,
- 87', Rente M. ↓, Mercera T. ↑,
- 90', 2 - 3, de Regt G. ⚽, Zagre A. (A),
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 14).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Groningen won 4.The recent form of both competitors has been shaky. In this match, Groningen is a strong favorite.There will not play in Groningen: Hoekstra M.
(Injury)
Resink S.
(Knee Injury)
Zawada O.
(Arm Injury)There will not play in Excelsior: Henderikx S.
(Inactive)
Jonathans M.
(Knee Injury)
Tielemans M.
(Inactive)In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Groningen won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 30:14. (average 1.8:0.8).Including home matches between the teams, Groningen won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:2. (average 2.1:0.3).
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Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 5 | Excelsior | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10:3 | 7 | 9 |
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| 9 | Groningen | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11:12 | -1 | 7 |
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