Match Info

Eredivisie - Round 32

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Euroborg (Groningen)

Referee: Oostrom I. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 3


	Groningen		Excelsior

	1	X	2
	1.73	4	4.5	Watch
	1.68	4.1	4.6
	1.75	3.95	4.45
	1.75	4.11	4.67
	1.73	4.11	4.36	Watch
	1.7	3.8	4.2
	1.75	4.07	4.46	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.76)	4.02 ↓ (4.03)	4.46 ↑ (4.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Groningen
55%

Draw
23.7%

Excelsior
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.6%

23.8%

21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55%

23.6%

21.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Groningen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Excelsior has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

The ML Model estimate for Groningen aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Excelsior than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.5%	18.2%	27.3%

Groningen - Excelsior Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Groningen will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Excelsior will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Groningen: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Groningen (2.65) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Groningen (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vaessen E. (G) 5. Rente M. (C) 3. Blokzijl T. 4. Janse D. 43. Peersman M. 18. Land T. 8. de Jonge T. 10. Taha Y. 17. van der Werff D. 14. Schreuders J. 26. van Bergen T.	1. van Gassel S. (G) 3. Meissen R. 4. Widell C. (C) 14. Schouten L. 12. Zagre A. 10. Naujoks N. 20. Hartjes L. 23. Yegoian I. 30. Sanches Fernandes D. 11. de Regt G. 7. Hansson E.
Substitutes
24. Baron D. (G) 44. Dillema J. 7. Hernes T. 27. Mendes R. 16. Mercera T. 34. Metu R. 2. Prins W. 20. Seuntjens M. 13. Stubljar L. (G) 15. van der Laan E. 9. Willumsson B.	33. Bergraaf J. 2. Bronkhorst I. 24. Cairo G. 6. Carlen A. 15. Janssen S. 16. Raatsie C. (G) 29. van Duinen M. 9. Wlodarczyk S.
Coaches
Lukkien D.	den Uil R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
3', 1 - 0, de Jonge T. ⚽, van der Werff D. (A),
40', 1 - 1, Widell C. ⚽, Hansson E. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
47', 2 - 1, Taha Y. ⚽, de Jonge T. (A),
56', van der Werff D. ↓, Metu R. ↑,
60', Hansson E. ↓, Wlodarczyk S. ↑,
65', 2 - 2, Sanches Fernandes D. ⚽, Meissen R. (A),
71', Land T. ↓, Willumsson B. ↑,
77', Hartjes L. ↓, Carlen A. ↑,
77', Naujoks N. ↓, Bergraaf J. ↑,
85', Sanches Fernandes D. ↓, Bronkhorst I. ↑,
87', Taha Y. ↓, Seuntjens M. ↑,
87', Rente M. ↓, Mercera T. ↑,
90', 2 - 3, de Regt G. ⚽, Zagre A. (A),

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Groningen won 4.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Groningen is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Groningen: Hoekstra M. (Injury) Resink S. (Knee Injury) Zawada O. (Arm Injury)

There will not play in Excelsior: Henderikx S. (Inactive) Jonathans M. (Knee Injury) Tielemans M. (Inactive)

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Groningen won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 30:14. (average 1.8:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Groningen won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:2. (average 2.1:0.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Excelsior	7	3	2	2	15:9	6	11
8	Groningen	7	3	2	2	15:13	2	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Groningen
Dutch Eredivisie
25.04.26	Feyenoord - Groningen	3:1 ✺
11.04.26	Groningen - Go Ahead Eagles	0:0 ✺
04.04.26	Telstar - Groningen	0:2 ✺
22.03.26	Groningen - AZ Alkmaar	3:0 ✺
13.03.26	Zwolle - Groningen	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LTWWT
- Excelsior Rotterdam
Dutch Eredivisie
26.04.26	Excelsior - Utrecht	5:0 ✺
12.04.26	Zwolle - Excelsior	2:2 ✺
04.04.26	Excelsior - NEC Nijmegen	0:2 ✺
20.03.26	Heracles Almelo - Excelsior	1:1 ✺
15.03.26	Feyenoord - Excelsior	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
05.12.25	Excelsior - Groningen	0:2
Dutch KNVB Beker
16.01.24	Excelsior - Groningen	0:2
Dutch Eredivisie
25.02.23	Groningen - Excelsior	3:0
08.01.23	Excelsior - Groningen	1:0
Dutch KNVB Beker
15.12.21	Excelsior - Groningen	2:4 ET
Dutch Eredivisie
06.04.19	Groningen - Excelsior	1:0
02.11.18	Excelsior - Groningen	2:4

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