Match Info

Eredivisie - Round 7

Date: 18 September 2026, Friday

Location: Euroborg (Groningen)

Referee: van den Kerkhof M. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	ESPN 2


	Groningen		Zwolle

	1	X	2
	1.57	4.33	5.00	Watch
	1.58	4.50	5.00
	1.45	4.60	6.00
	1.55	4.90	6.00
	1.53	4.49	5.61	Watch
	1.51	4.50	5.90
	1.55	4.54	5.68	Watch
	1.50	4.70	5.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.61)	4.57 ↑ (4.22)	5.55 ↑ (4.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Groningen
62.1%

Draw
20.8%

Zwolle
17.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

57.9%

22.1%

20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7%

21.1%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Groningen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Zwolle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Groningen than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zwolle than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	11.1%	5.6%

Groningen - Zwolle Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Groningen (votes: 1 - 50%). Zwolle (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Groningen will win (15 of 18 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.11% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vaessen E. (G) 14. Schreuders J. 3. Blokzijl T. (C) 5. Rente M. 4. Csinger M. 8. de Jonge T. 24. Clement P. 17. van der Werff D. 26. van Bergen T. 11. Ondrejka J. 9. Willumsson B.	1. Schendelaar J. (G) 3. Aertssen O. 28. Graves S. 24. Viergever N. (C) 2. Floranus S. 34. Fichtinger N. 11. Mbayo D. 25. Oosting T. 8. Sommer T. 22. Cissoko I. 10. Kostons K.
Substitutes
30. Boevink P. (G) 44. Dillema J. 20. Eggens N. 53. Hall J. 33. Hateboer H. 18. Land T. 42. Mosselaar J. 16. Nordin A. 13. Stubljar L. (G) 19. Zawada O.	6. Burger J. 16. de Graaff T. (G) 26. Pereira da Gama J. 20. Reiziger G. 42. Ruward D. 9. Sorensen E. 33. van der Haar D. 37. van der Wal G. 17. van Hooijdonk S. 18. Velanas O. 4. Velthuis T. 41. Verduin D. (G)
Coaches
Lukkien D.	Van Der Vegt H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, van Bergen T. ⚽, van der Werff D. (A),
28', Cissoko I. ↓, Sorensen E. ↑,
43', 2 - 0, Schreuders J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', Mbayo D. ↓, Reiziger G. ↑,
61', Oosting T. ↓, van Hooijdonk S. ↑,
66', Rente M. ↓, Hateboer H. ↑,
66', Ondrejka J. ↓, Land T. ↑,
68', 3 - 0, Land T. ⚽, van der Werff D. (A),
79', Kostons K. 🟨,
79', Floranus S. 🟨,
80', Aertssen O. ↓, Burger J. ↑,
80', Kostons K. ↓, van der Wal G. ↑,
85', Willumsson B. ↓, Nordin A. ↑,
85', van der Werff D. ↓, Eggens N. ↑,
90', Csinger M. ↓, Mosselaar J. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 9th and 16th in the Eredivisie (Relegation)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Groningen won 0.

In recent outings, Groningen has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Zwolle is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Bookmakers give the edge to Groningen for this game.

Confirmed absences for Groningen: Brandis N. (Inactive) Hernes T. (Injury) Jeng M. (Leg Injury) Mercera T. (Injury) Metu R. (Injury).

Confirmed absences for Zwolle: Floranus S. (Injury) Krastev F. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Namli Y. (Knee Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Zwolle: Thomas R. (Injury).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Groningen has recorded 7 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 28:19 (averaging 1.4:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Groningen against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with 15:6 goals (averaging 1.5:0.6 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Groningen	8	4	2	2	20:14	6	14
17	Zwolle	8	1	1	6	6:21	-15	4

Outrights of Dutch Eredivisie for now

Groningen: 0.27% Zwolle: 0.09%

Last Results with these Odds

Zwolle - the odds 4.67 are the expected chance of winning is 19.98%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Groningen
Dutch Eredivisie
12.09.26	Go Ahead Eagles - Groningen	1:1 ✺
06.09.26	Groningen - Twente	2:2 ✺
28.08.26	Groningen - Fortuna Sittard	2:3 ✺
23.08.26	PSV Eindhoven - Groningen	5:1 ✺
16.08.26	ADO Den Haag - Groningen	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TTLLW
- PEC Zwolle
Dutch Eredivisie
13.09.26	Zwolle - Feyenoord	0:7 ✺
04.09.26	Sparta Rotterdam - Zwolle	2:2 ✺
29.08.26	Zwolle - NEC Nijmegen	1:3 ✺
22.08.26	Heerenveen - Zwolle	0:2 ✺
16.08.26	Twente - Zwolle	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
13.03.26	Zwolle - Groningen	1:1
23.11.25	Groningen - Zwolle	2:2
18.05.25	Zwolle - Groningen	2:0
08.12.24	Groningen - Zwolle	0:0
Club Friendly
05.08.23	Zwolle - Groningen	0:0
Dutch Eredivisie
20.02.22	Zwolle - Groningen	1:1
03.12.21	Groningen - Zwolle	1:1

Upcoming Matches