Match Info

Eredivisie - Round 5

Date: 6 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Euroborg (Groningen)

Referee: Makkelie D. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Groningen		Twente

	1	X	2
	3.6	4	1.85	Watch
	3.40	3.90	1.95
	3.7	3.85	1.9
	3.72	4.15	1.93
	3.57	4.02	1.91	Watch
	3.7	4	1.89
	3.73	4.14	1.92	Watch
	3.5	3.95	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.62 ↑ (3.31)	4 ↑ (3.95)	1.91 ↓ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Groningen
26.3%

Draw
23.8%

Twente
49.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.6%

23.9%

47.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.3%

25%

49.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Groningen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Twente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Groningen than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Twente than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	33.3%	50%

Groningen - Twente Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Groningen will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Twente will win (votes: 6 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Twente: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Twente (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 - Groningen (1.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Groningen (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Twente (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vaessen E. (G) 14. Schreuders J. 4. Csinger M. 3. Blokzijl T. (C) 2. Prins W. 8. de Jonge T. 18. Land T. 17. van der Werff D. 26. van Bergen T. 24. Clement P. 9. Willumsson B.	1. Unnerstall L. (G) 28. van Rooij B. 38. Bruns M. 3. Propper R. (C) 4. Nijstad R. 6. Zerrouki R. 8. Weidmann D. 27. Orjasaeter S. 10. Taha Y. 7. Pjaca M. 9. Weghorst W.
Substitutes
30. Boevink P. (G) 12. Brandis N. 44. Dillema J. 20. Eggens N. 53. Hall J. 7. Hernes T. 42. Mosselaar J. 16. Nordin A. 11. Ondrejka J. 13. Stubljar L. (G) 15. van der Laan E. 19. Zawada O.	29. Adelgaard A. 18. Bawuah J. 16. Drommel J. (G) 24. Kurowski K. 22. Pasveer R. (G) 2. Rosiak M. 11. Rots D. 17. Thorvaldsen F. 37. Unuvar N. 20. van den Belt T. 25. Vennegoor of Hesselink L.
Coaches
Lukkien D.	van den Brom J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
6', 0 - 1, Pjaca M. ⚽, Weghorst W. (A),
8', Zerrouki R. 🟨,
18', 1 - 1, van Bergen T. ⚽, van der Werff D. (A),
29', 2 - 1, Land T. ⚽, Blokzijl T. (A),
40', 2 - 2, Weghorst W. ⚽, Taha Y. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Csinger M. 🟨,
60', Willumsson B. ↓, Zawada O. ↑,
60', Csinger M. ↓, van der Laan E. ↑,
60', Clement P. ↓, Ondrejka J. ↑,
61', Pjaca M. ↓, Rots D. ↑,
75', Orjasaeter S. ↓, Thorvaldsen F. ↑,
75', Weidmann D. ↓, van den Belt T. ↑,
80', Land T. ↓, Hernes T. ↑,
83', Prins W. ↓, Brandis N. ↑,
88', Taha Y. ↓, Vennegoor of Hesselink L. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Groningen won 0.

In recent matches, Groningen has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Twente is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Groningen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Twente will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Groningen: Jeng M. (Leg Injury) Mercera T. (Injury) Metu R. (Injury) Rente M. (Injury)

There are questionable in Twente: Hlynsson K. (Inactive) Lemkin S. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Groningen won 3 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 22:36. (average 1.1:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Groningen won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:17. (average 1.3:1.5).

Outrights of Dutch Eredivisie for now

Twente: 3.93% Groningen: 0.3%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Twente	8	5	2	1	16:8	8	17
8	Groningen	7	3	2	2	15:13	2	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Groningen
Dutch Eredivisie
28.08.26	Groningen - Fortuna Sittard	2:3 ✺
23.08.26	PSV Eindhoven - Groningen	5:1 ✺
16.08.26	ADO Den Haag - Groningen	1:4 ✺
09.08.26	Groningen - Utrecht	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Groningen - Valladolid	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LLWWW
- FC Twente
Dutch Eredivisie
30.08.26	Cambuur - Twente	1:4 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.08.26	Qarabağ Agdam - Twente	1:4 AET ✺
20.08.26	Twente - Qarabağ Agdam	0:1 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
16.08.26	Twente - Zwolle	3:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
13.08.26	DAC Dunajská Streda - Twente	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
22.02.26	Twente - Groningen	2:1
02.11.25	Groningen - Twente	1:1
01.03.25	Groningen - Twente	1:1
15.12.24	Twente - Groningen	2:0
05.02.23	Groningen - Twente	1:1
16.10.22	Twente - Groningen	3:0
11.05.22	Twente - Groningen	3:0

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