Match Info

Eredivisie - Round 31

Date: 3 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Euroborg (Groningen)

Referee: Gozubuyuk S. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 1, ESPN Extra


	Groningen		Waalwijk

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.5	8.5	Watch
	1.7	4	4.6
	1.39	4.7	8.3	Watch
	1.41	4.84	7.99
	1.41	4.7	7.78	Watch
	1.67	3.8	4.8
	1.45	4.6	8.28	Watch
	1.39	4.9	7.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.87)	4.51 ↑ (3.69)	7.26 ↑ (3.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Groningen
65.3%

Draw
21.4%

Waalwijk
13.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.4%

25.6%

24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

22.3%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Groningen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Groningen's performance.

Waalwijk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Waalwijk might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Groningen than the current prediction. (-21.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Groningen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Waalwijk than the current prediction. (+14.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Waalwijk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
89.5%	5.3%	5.3%

Groningen - Waalwijk Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Groningen (1.75) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Users Predictions: Groningen will win (17 of 19 users predict this - 89.47%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.67% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Groningen will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Groningen (votes: 12 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vaessen E. (G) 5. Rente M. 4. Ekdal H. 3. Blokzijl T. 43. Peersman M. 14. Schreuders J. 6. Resink S. 7. Bacuna L. (C) 16. Kwakman D. 10. Valente L. 26. van Bergen T.	16. Spenkelink M. (G) 33. Al Mazyani F. 2. Lelieveld J. 4. Van Gelderen L. 5. Familia-Castillo J. 17. van Eijma R. 22. van de Loo T. 6. Oukili Y. 14. Lokesa C. 29. Kramer M. (C) 19. Margaret R.
Substitutes
24. Baron D. (G) 18. de Jonge T. 11. Emeran N. 21. Jurjus H. (G) 27. Mendes R. 25. Oosting T. 29. Postema R. 2. Prins W. 20. Seuntjens M. 22. Stam F. 46. van der Werff D. 9. Willumsson B.	7. Cleonise D. 32. el Yaakoubi R. 35. Felida K. 1. Houwen J. (G) 11. Jakobsen A. 13. Kesting J. (G) 28. Meijers A. 24. Roemeratoe G. 3. Van den Buijs D. 18. van der Water S. 8. Vroegh P.
Coaches
Lukkien D.	Fraser H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Bacuna L. (Pen),
18', Lelieveld J. 🟨,
45+2', 2 - 0, Resink S. ⚽, Bacuna L. (A),
2nd Half (4 - 1)
46', Rente M. ↓, Emeran N. ↑,
46', 3 - 0, Emeran N. ⚽, Valente L. (A),
50', 4 - 0, Resink S. ⚽,
57', Kramer M. ↓, Roemeratoe G. ↑,
57', Lokesa C. ↓, Cleonise D. ↑,
60', 5 - 0, van Bergen T. ⚽,
67', 5 - 1, Roemeratoe G. ⚽,
68', Peersman M. ↓, Prins W. ↑,
68', Kwakman D. ↓, Postema R. ↑,
74', Lelieveld J. ↓, Felida K. ↑,
74', Margaret R. ↓, van der Water S. ↑,
75', Valente L. ↓, Willumsson B. ↑,
82', van de Loo T. ↓, Jakobsen A. ↑,
82', van Bergen T. ↓, Seuntjens M. ↑,
89', 6 - 1, Seuntjens M. ⚽, Willumsson B. (A),

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Groningen won 1.

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

In this match, Groningen is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Groningen: Mariani M. (Knock) Turay F. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There will not play in Waalwijk: van Osch Y. (Injury)

There are questionable in Waalwijk: Van den Buijs D. (Injury) Weidmann D. (Injury) Wouters L. (Inactive) Zawada O. (Inactive)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Groningen won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 21:20. (average 1.5:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Groningen won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:9. (average 2:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Groningen
Dutch Eredivisie
23.04.25	Groningen - Heracles Almelo	4:1 ✺
13.04.25	Utrecht - Groningen	3:1 ✺
05.04.25	Groningen - PSV Eindhoven	1:3 ✺
02.04.25	Feyenoord - Groningen	4:1 ✺
29.03.25	NAC Breda - Groningen	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLLLT
- RKC Waalwijk
Dutch Eredivisie
25.04.25	Waalwijk - Utrecht	0:4 ✺
11.04.25	NEC Nijmegen - Waalwijk	2:1 ✺
06.04.25	Waalwijk - Heracles Almelo	0:0 ✺
01.04.25	AZ Alkmaar - Waalwijk	2:2 ✺
29.03.25	Zwolle - Waalwijk	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
17.08.24	Waalwijk - Groningen	1:2
15.04.23	Waalwijk - Groningen	2:1
07.10.22	Groningen - Waalwijk	2:3
01.05.22	Waalwijk - Groningen	3:1
07.11.21	Groningen - Waalwijk	1:1
20.03.21	Waalwijk - Groningen	3:1
12.12.20	Groningen - Waalwijk	2:0

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