Match Info

Eredivisie - Round 27

Date: 29 March 2025, Saturday

Location: MAC³PARK Stadion (Zwolle)

Referee: Makkelie D. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra


	Zwolle		Waalwijk

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.6	3.5	Watch
	2.05	3.7	3.4
	2.02	3.7	3.45	Watch
	2.01	3.68	3.55	Watch
	2	3.7	3.3
	1.99	3.76	3.81	Watch
	2.02	3.7	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.93)	3.69 ↓ (3.83)	3.49 ↓ (3.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zwolle
47.2%

Draw
25.7%

Waalwijk
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.9%

24.7%

26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48%

25.2%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zwolle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Waalwijk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zwolle than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Waalwijk than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	28.6%	21.4%

Zwolle - Waalwijk Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Zwolle will win (votes: 7 - 50%). Waalwijk will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zwolle: 23.8% – 76.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schendelaar J. (G) 3. Aertssen O. 28. Graves S. 4. Garcia MacNulty A. 2. Floranus S. 35. Monteiro J. 6. El Azzouzi A. 30. Thomas R. (C) 11. Mbayo D. 9. Vente D. 50. Krastev F.	1. Houwen J. (G) 33. Al Mazyani F. 32. el Yaakoubi R. 4. Van Gelderen L. 2. Lelieveld J. 22. van de Loo T. 6. Oukili Y. 5. Familia-Castillo J. 52. Ihattaren M. 19. Margaret R. 9. Zawada O. (C)
Substitutes
29. Buitink T. 22. de Rooij K. 34. Fichtinger N. 40. Hauptmeijer M. (G) 5. Lutonda T. 7. Namli Y. 23. Reijnders E. 10. Van Den Berg D. 33. van der Haar D. 18. Velanas O. 25. Vermeer K. (G)	7. Cleonise D. 35. Felida K. 13. Kesting J. (G) 29. Kramer M. 14. Lokesa C. 28. Meijers A. 24. Roemeratoe G. 16. Spenkelink M. (G) 23. van der Venne R. 18. van der Water S. 17. van Eijma R. 8. Vroegh P.
Coaches
Jansen J.	Fraser H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Oukili Y. ↓, van der Venne R. ↑,
55', Al Mazyani F. 🟨,
61', Mbayo D. ↓, Namli Y. ↑,
67', el Yaakoubi R. ↓, Cleonise D. ↑,
67', Ihattaren M. ↓, Lokesa C. ↑,
72', Al Mazyani F. 🟨,
74', 1 - 0, Vente D. (Pen),
75', Monteiro J. ↓, Van Den Berg D. ↑,
76', El Azzouzi A. ↓, Fichtinger N. ↑,
80', Garcia MacNulty A. 🟨,
83', 2 - 0, Krastev F. ⚽, Namli Y. (A),
84', van de Loo T. ↓, van Eijma R. ↑,
84', Familia-Castillo J. ↓, Meijers A. ↑,
90', Aertssen O. ↓, Reijnders E. ↑,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Zwolle won 1.

Zwolle is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Waalwijk is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Zwolle will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Zwolle: Gooijer T. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Waalwijk: van Osch Y. (Injury)

There are questionable in Zwolle: Lagsir S. (Knee Injury) Monteiro J. (Injury)

There are questionable in Waalwijk: Weidmann D. (Injury)

Last 15 head-to-head matches Zwolle won 5 matches, drawn 9 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 25:14 (average 1.7:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Zwolle won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13:7 (average 1.9:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PEC Zwolle
Dutch Eredivisie
15.03.25	Sparta Rotterdam - Zwolle	1:1 ✺
09.03.25	Zwolle - Ajax	0:1 ✺
02.03.25	Heracles Almelo - Zwolle	4:2 ✺
16.02.25	Zwolle - Heerenveen	1:1 ✺
09.02.25	AZ Alkmaar - Zwolle	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TLLTL
- RKC Waalwijk
Dutch Eredivisie
15.03.25	Waalwijk - PSV Eindhoven	0:3 ✺
28.02.25	Waalwijk - Fortuna Sittard	1:2 ✺
16.02.25	Twente - Waalwijk	2:0 ✺
09.02.25	Waalwijk - NAC Breda	5:0 ✺
02.02.25	Almere City - Waalwijk	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
20.12.24	Waalwijk - Zwolle	1:1
12.05.24	Waalwijk - Zwolle	1:1
25.11.23	Zwolle - Waalwijk	1:2
23.04.22	Waalwijk - Zwolle	0:2
27.11.21	Zwolle - Waalwijk	0:0
06.02.21	Zwolle - Waalwijk	1:1
21.10.20	Waalwijk - Zwolle	1:1

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