Match Info

Date: 23 July 2022, Saturday

Location: Kitakami Stadium (Kitakami)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Grulla Morioka		Machida Zelvia

	1	X	2
	5.5	3.8	1.61	Watch
	5.25	3.4	1.6
	5	3.55	1.67
	5.4	3.6	1.6
	5.73	3.93	1.65
	5.5	3.4	1.57
	5.55	3.72	1.67	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.42 ↑ (3.1)	3.63 ↑ (3)	1.62 ↓ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grulla Morioka
17.2%

Draw
25.6%

Machida Zelvia
57.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29%

30%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9%

29.9%

41.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grulla Morioka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Grulla Morioka's form might have worsened.

Machida Zelvia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Machida Zelvia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grulla Morioka than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Grulla Morioka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Machida Zelvia than the current prediction. (-16.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Machida Zelvia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.6%	18.2%	68.2%

Grulla Morioka - Machida Zelvia Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Grulla Morioka will win (votes: 3 - 13.6%). Machida Zelvia will win (votes: 15 - 68.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Machida Zelvia: 48.7% – 87.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 19 and 8).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Machida Zelvia is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Grulla Morioka won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grulla Morioka
Japan J2 League
16.07.22	Grulla Morioka - Vegalta Sendai	1:5 ✺
10.07.22	V-Varen Nagasaki - Grulla Morioka	2:2 ✺
06.07.22	Grulla Morioka - Ryūkyū	0:1 ✺
02.07.22	Grulla Morioka - Omiya Ardija	1:0 ✺
26.06.22	Tochigi - Grulla Morioka	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 LTLWT
- Machida Zelvia
Japan J2 League
17.07.22	Machida Zelvia - V-Varen Nagasaki	1:2 ✺
10.07.22	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Machida Zelvia	0:2 ✺
06.07.22	Machida Zelvia - Mito HollyHock	2:3 ✺
02.07.22	Machida Zelvia - Vegalta Sendai	2:3 ✺
26.06.22	Ryūkyū - Machida Zelvia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Japan Emperors Cup
01.06.22	Machida Zelvia - Grulla Morioka	1:3
Japan J2 League
27.02.22	Machida Zelvia - Grulla Morioka	1:0

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