Match Info

J1 League - Round 2

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Machida GION Stadium (Machida)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Machida Zelvia		Mito HollyHock

	1	X	2
	1.51	3.75	6	Watch
	1.52	3.9	5.9	Watch
	1.59	4.09	6.49
	1.49	4.23	6.96	Watch
	1.53	3.75	5.75
	1.57	3.84	6.47	Watch
	1.55	3.8	6.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.48)	3.91 ↓ (4.1)	6.27 ↓ (7.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Machida Zelvia
61%

Draw
24%

Mito HollyHock
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.8%

23%

13.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Machida Zelvia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Mito HollyHock has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	12.5%	12.5%

Machida Zelvia - Mito HollyHock Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Machida Zelvia will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Mito HollyHock will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Machida Zelvia: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Machida Zelvia (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tani K. (G) 6. Mochizuki H. 50. Okamura D. 3. Shoji G. 88. Nakamura H. 31. Lavi N. 19. Nakayama Y. 26. Hayashi K. 10. Na Sang-Ho 7. Soma Y. 27. Erik	34. Nishikawa K. (G) 6. Iida T. 17. Itakura K. 71. Fofana M. 7. Omori S. 25. Mase T. 3. Osaki K. 19. Semba T. 8. Kato C. 11. Torikai Y. 10. Watanabe A.
Substitutes
5. Dresevic I. 49. Kuwayama K. 11. Masuyama A. 13. Morita T. (G) 22. Numata T. 18. Shimoda H. 23. Shirasaki R. 34. Tokumura F. 99. Yengi T.	14. Arai M. 87. Gokita K. 5. Inoue S. 21. Matsubara S. (G) 15. Nagao Y. 44. Okuda K. 29. Tada K. 39. Yamamoto H. 48. Yamashita Y.
Coaches
Kuroda G.	Kimori D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
39', 1 - 0, Erik ⚽, Soma Y. (A),
42', 1 - 1, Semba T. ⚽, Iida T. (A),
43', 1 - 2, Torikai Y. ⚽, Kato C. (A),
45+3', 2 - 2, Shoji G. ⚽, Na Sang-Ho (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Lavi N. ↓, Shirasaki R. ↑,
61', Na Sang-Ho ↓, Kuwayama K. ↑,
61', Erik ↓, Yengi T. ↑,
62', Watanabe A. ↓, Gokita K. ↑,
68', Shoji G. ↓, Dresevic I. ↑,
70', Torikai Y. ↓, Okuda K. ↑,
70', Semba T. ↓, Yamashita Y. ↑,
79', Kato C. ↓, Yamamoto H. ↑,
80', Omori S. ↓, Nagao Y. ↑,
90+1', Hayashi K. ↓, Shimoda H. ↑,
Penalties (4 - 2)
1, Osaki K. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Soma Y. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Yamashita Y. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Nakayama Y. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Gokita K. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Shimoda H. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Nagao Y. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Dresevic I. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Machida Zelvia won 2.

Machida Zelvia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Machida Zelvia is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Machida Zelvia: Kikuchi R. (Knee Injury) Soma Y. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Mito HollyHock: Gokita K. (Yellow Cards) Itakura K. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Machida Zelvia: Vasquez B. (Injury)

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Machida Zelvia won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:23. (average 1.3:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Machida Zelvia won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:9. (average 1.6:1.1).

Outrights of Japan J1 League for now

Mito: 0.78%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Machida	4	3	1	0	13:3	10	10
11	Mito	4	1	2	1	6:5	1	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Machida Zelvia
AFC Champions League
10.02.26	Shanghai Shenhua - Machida Zelvia	0:2 ✺
Japan J1 League
06.02.26	Yokohama F. Marinos - Machida Zelvia	2:3 ✺
AFC Champions League
09.12.25	Machida Zelvia - Ulsan HD	3:1 ✺
Japan J1 League
06.12.25	Kashiwa Reysol - Machida Zelvia	1:0 ✺
30.11.25	Machida Zelvia - Nagoya Grampus	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWWLW
- Mito HollyHock
Japan J1 League
08.02.26	Tokyo Verdy - Mito HollyHock	3:1 ✺
Japan J2 League
29.11.25	Mito HollyHock - Oita Trinita	2:0 ✺
22.11.25	V-Varen Nagasaki - Mito HollyHock	2:1 ✺
09.11.25	Mito HollyHock - Omiya Ardija	0:2 ✺
02.11.25	Ventforet Kofu - Mito HollyHock	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
24.06.23	Mito HollyHock - Machida Zelvia	1:1
12.03.23	Machida Zelvia - Mito HollyHock	3:0
06.07.22	Machida Zelvia - Mito HollyHock	2:3
08.05.22	Mito HollyHock - Machida Zelvia	0:0
11.07.21	Machida Zelvia - Mito HollyHock	2:1
21.03.21	Mito HollyHock - Machida Zelvia	3:0
13.12.20	Machida Zelvia - Mito HollyHock	1:0

Upcoming Matches