Match Info

JAPAN: J2 LEAGUE - ROUND 27

Date: 23 July 2023, Sunday

Location: Yurtec Stadium Sendai (Sendai)


	Vegalta Sendai		Tokyo Verdy

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.4	2.1	Watch
	3.2	3.2	2
	3.3	3.4	2.05
	3.48	3.53	2.16
	3.2	3.1	2.05
	3.46	3.42	2.1	Watch
	3.35	3.3	2.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.37 ↑ (3.11)	3.34 ↑ (3.28)	2.08 ↓ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vegalta Sendai
27.6%

Draw
27.8%

Tokyo Verdy
44.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.6%

28.1%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30%

27.7%

41.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vegalta Sendai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Tokyo Verdy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vegalta Sendai than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokyo Verdy than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.2%	17.6%	41.2%

Vegalta Sendai - Tokyo Verdy Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Sendai will win (votes: 7 - 41.2%). Tokyo Verdy will win (votes: 7 - 41.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 17.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sendai: 17.8% – 64.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Hayashi A. (G) 25. Mase T. 5. Wakasa M. 15. Sugata M. 2. Akiyama Y. 26. Matsuzaki K. 32. Kamada H. 7. Nakajima M. 18. Kida R. 88. Heo Yong-Joon 11. Goke Y.	1. Vidotto M. (G) 6. Miyahara K. 13. Hayashi N. 5. Taira T. 2. Fukazawa D. 47. Nakahara H. 7. Morita K. 25. Inami T. 20. Kitajima Y. 39. Someno I. 8. Saito K.
Substitutes
35. Foguinho 16. Kato C. 20. Kim Tae-Hyeon 9. Nakayama M. 1. Obata Y. (G) 27. Onaiwu G. 10. Ryang Yong-G.	41. Iida M. (G) 26. Kato R. 22. Koda H. 42. Shirai R. 23. Tsunashima Y. 27. Yamada G. 16. Yamakoshi K.
Coaches
Hori T.	Jofuku H.

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 15 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Sendai has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Tokyo Verdy is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Tokyo Verdy could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Sendai have a series of guest games.

Tokyo Verdy will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Sendai won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Sendai won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vegalta Sendai
Japan J2 League
16.07.23	Zweigen Kanazawa - Vegalta Sendai	2:1 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
12.07.23	Nagoya Grampus - Vegalta Sendai	2:1 penalties ✺
Japan J2 League
09.07.23	Tochigi - Vegalta Sendai	2:2 ✺
05.07.23	Vegalta Sendai - Shimizu S-Pulse	0:3 ✺
01.07.23	Montedio Yamagata - Vegalta Sendai	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLTLL
- Tokyo Verdy
Japan J2 League
15.07.23	Tokyo Verdy - Tokushima Vortis	0:0 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
12.07.23	Tokyo - Tokyo Verdy	2:1 penalties ✺
Japan J2 League
09.07.23	Machida Zelvia - Tokyo Verdy	2:2 ✺
05.07.23	Tokyo Verdy - V-Varen Nagasaki	1:2 ✺
02.07.23	Roasso Kumamoto - Tokyo Verdy	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
04.06.23	Tokyo Verdy - Vegalta Sendai	0:2
02.10.22	Vegalta Sendai - Tokyo Verdy	0:2
04.05.22	Tokyo Verdy - Vegalta Sendai	3:1

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