Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie A - Round 26

Date: 15 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Allianz Parque (Sao Paulo)

Referee: Gomes Stefano A. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belarus	Belarus 5
Brazil	Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping
Chile	MEGOGO
Georgia	Silk Sport 2
Indonesia	Mola TV
Peru	Liga 1 Play
Portugal	Canal 11
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Sportbox.ru
Spain	Gol Stadium
Ukraine	Sport 1
World	Fanatiz


	Palmeiras		Criciúma

	1	X	2
	1.27	5.25	11	Watch
	1.26	5.75	10.5
	1.28	5.5	10
	1.29	5.84	11.55
	1.31	5.46	9.84	Watch
	1.3	5	9
	1.29	5.6	10.5	Watch
	1.28	5.5	10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.35)	5.49 ↑ (4.86)	10.3 ↑ (8.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Palmeiras
73.6%

Draw
17.2%

Criciúma
9.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.7%

19.4%

10.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.4%

18.7%

10.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Palmeiras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Criciúma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palmeiras than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Criciúma than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.6%	13%	4.3%

Palmeiras - Criciúma Predictions

Users Predictions: Palmeiras will win (19 of 22 users predict this - 86.36%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.02% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Weverton (G) 2. Marcos Rocha 15. Gustavo Gomez (C) 26. Murilo 16. Caio Paulista 5. Moreno A. 27. Rios R. 18. Mauricio 41. Estevao 42. Flaco Lopez 9. Felipe Anderson	1. Gustavo (C) 27. Claudinho 33. Walisson Maia 29. Figueiredo T. 22. Marcelo Hermes 88. Gustavo Barreto 8. Newton 85. Patrick de Paula 17. Matheusinho 45. Arthur Caike 11. Bolasie Y.
Substitutes
51. Deivid Andrade (G) 7. Dudu 35. Fabinho 4. Giay A. 17. Lazaro 1. Mateus Oliveira (G) 34. Naves 23. Raphael Veiga 20. Romulo 10. Rony 6. Vanderlan 44. Vitor Reis	25. Alisson (G) 2. Allano 20. Dudu 41. Erick Garcia 9. Felipe Vizeu 7. Fellipe Mateus 5. Higor Meritao 50. Jhonata Robert 10. Marquinhos Gabriel 6. Ronald Lopes 14. Trauco M. 77. Werik Popo
Coaches
Ferreira A.	Claudio Tencati

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Flaco Lopez ⚽,
14', 2 - 0, Felipe Anderson ⚽, Marcos Rocha (A),
18', 3 - 0, Figueiredo T. (Own goal),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Gustavo Barreto ↓, Fellipe Mateus ↑,
46', Claudinho ↓, Dudu ↑,
52', 4 - 0, Estevao ⚽, Felipe Anderson (A),
60', Walisson Maia 🟨,
63', Figueiredo T. 🟨,
63', Bolasie Y. ↓, Allano ↑,
67', Caio Paulista 🟥,
71', Felipe Anderson ↓, Raphael Veiga ↑,
71', Mauricio ↓, Vanderlan ↑,
71', Flaco Lopez ↓, Rony ↑,
77', 5 - 0, Raphael Veiga ⚽,
78', Patrick de Paula ↓, Ronald Lopes ↑,
80', Estevao ↓, Dudu ↑,
80', Rios R. ↓, Fabinho ↑,
84', Arthur Caike ↓, Felipe Vizeu ↑,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 14).

Palmeiras is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Criciúma is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Palmeiras could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Palmeiras is absolute favorite.

There will not play in Palmeiras: Bruno Rodrigues (Injury) Mayke (Injury) Piquerez J. (Injury)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Palmeiras won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Palmeiras won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Palmeiras
Brazilian Serie A
01.09.24	Athletico Paranaense - Palmeiras	0:2 ✺
24.08.24	Palmeiras - Cuiabá	5:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
21.08.24	Palmeiras - Botafogo RJ	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
18.08.24	Palmeiras - São Paulo	2:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
14.08.24	Botafogo RJ - Palmeiras	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWTWL
- Criciúma EC
Brazilian Serie A
31.08.24	Cuiabá - Criciúma	2:1 ✺
28.08.24	Criciúma - Red Bull Bragantino	1:0 ✺
25.08.24	Criciúma - Grêmio	0:1 ✺
18.08.24	Criciúma - Vasco da Gama	2:2 ✺
10.08.24	Fortaleza - Criciúma	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
02.06.24	Criciúma - Palmeiras	1:2
10.09.14	Palmeiras - Criciúma	1:0
20.04.14	Criciúma - Palmeiras	1:2

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