The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Guarani 40.1%
Draw 31.9%
Vila Nova 27.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.7%
31.2%
33.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.2%
30.7%
33.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guarani has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
Vila Nova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vila Nova might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guarani than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vila Nova could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
28.6%
42.9%
28.6%
Guarani - Vila Nova Predictions
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Guarani will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Vila Nova will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 42.9%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 17% – 68.8%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
89. Vladimir (G) 28. Pacheco 23. Douglas Bacelar 13. Matheus Salustiano (C) 17. Jefferson 5. Anderson Leite 18. Matheus Bueno 10. Luan Dias 19. Joao Victor 99. Caio Dantas 30. Airton
26. Denis Junior (G) 2. Elias 3. Juan Quintero 4. Jemmes 6. Rhuan 8. Ralf (C) 5. Cristiano 27. Igor Henrique 11. Alesson 29. Junior Todinho 19. Henrique Almeida
Substitutes
39. dos Anjos D. 31. Douglas Borges (G) 2. Heitor 3. Leo Santos 21. Lucas Araujo 7. Luccas Paraizo 8. Marlon Douglas 77. Marlon Maranhao 1. Pegorari (G) 20. Reinaldo 15. Rene 29. Yan Henrique
22. Apodi 7. Emerson Urso 17. Everton 13. Guilherme Lacerda 30. Halls (G) 20. Joao Lucas 15. Joao Victor 21. Silva A.
Coaches
Aal A.
Luizinho Lopes
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
20', Alesson 🟨,
36', Rhuan 🟨,
38', 1 - 0, Douglas Bacelar ⚽, Airton (A),
44', Caio Dantas (Pen),
45+1', Joao Victor 🟨,
45+3', 2 - 0, Airton ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Rhuan ↓, Silva A. ↑,
46', Jemmes ↓, Joao Lucas ↑,
48', Juan Quintero 🟨,
51', Douglas Bacelar 🟨,
53', Cristiano 🟨,
63', Junior Todinho ↓, Everton ↑,
73', Igor Henrique 🟨,
75', Caio Dantas ↓, Luccas Paraizo ↑,
76', Luan Dias 🟨,
77', Everton 🟨,
81', Cristiano ↓, Emerson Urso ↑,
81', Igor Henrique ↓, Joao Victor ↑,
86', Joao Lucas 🟨,
87', Joao Victor ↓, Heitor ↑,
90+1', Luan Dias ↓, Lucas Araujo ↑,
90+1', Airton ↓, Marlon Maranhao ↑,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 6).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Guarani won 0.
The game of competitors is shaky now.
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
There will not play in Guarani: Bruno Mendes
(Injury)
Camacho
(Injury)
Pegorari
(Injury)
There will not play in Vila Nova: Arilson
(Injury)
Marcondes
(Injury)
Last 8 head-to-head matches Guarani won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8-15.
Including matches at home between the teams Guarani won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-9.
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World
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Vladimir (G) 
Juan Quintero 
Silva A. 
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