Match Info

Date: 5 August 2022, Friday

Location: Estádio Brinco de Ouro (Campinas)

Referee: Pereira Sampiao S. (Bra)


	Guarani		Grêmio

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.6	2.8	2.15
	3.65	2.75	2.17
	3.6	2.85	2.19
	4.01	2.96	2.24
	3.7	2.8	2.2
	3.72	2.88	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.71 ↑ (3.39)	2.84 ↓ (2.96)	2.19 ↓ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guarani
25%

Draw
32.7%

Grêmio
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.3%

31.2%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.4%

32.3%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guarani has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Grêmio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guarani than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8%	44%	48%

Guarani - Grêmio Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Guarani will win (votes: 2 - 8%). Grêmio will win (votes: 12 - 48%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 44%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Grêmio: 28.4% – 67.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).

Recent matches Guarani is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Grêmio is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Grêmio will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Guarani: Eliel (Injury) Giovanni Augusto (Injury)

There will not play in Grêmio: Bitelo (Red Card) Brenno (Injury) Edilson (Injury) Elkeson C. (Injury) Kannemann W. (Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Guarani won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guarani Futebol Clube
Brazilian Serie B
28.07.22	Sport Recife - Guarani	2:1 ✺
24.07.22	Guarani - Brusque	1:1 ✺
20.07.22	Chapecoense - Guarani	0:0 ✺
16.07.22	Guarani - Bahia	0:2 ✺
09.07.22	Guarani - Cruzeiro	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LTTLW
- Grêmio RS
Brazilian Serie B
26.07.22	Chapecoense - Grêmio	0:0 ✺
23.07.22	Grêmio - Ponte Preta	2:1 ✺
19.07.22	Brusque - Grêmio	1:1 ✺
16.07.22	Grêmio - Tombense	3:0 ✺
08.07.22	Grêmio - Náutico Capibaribe	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
21.04.22	Grêmio - Guarani	3:1

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