Match Info

Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 6

Date: 26 May 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Arena do Grêmio (Porto Alegre) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Valenzuela J. (Ven)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	19:00	DirecTV Sports
Australia	08:00	beIN Connect
Brazil	19:00	Disney+, ESPN 4
Canada	18:00	beIN Connect, fubo Sports Network
Chile	18:00	DirecTV Sports
Ecuador	17:00	DirecTV Sports
Israel	01:00	Sport 3
Italy	00:00	Como TV
Mexico	16:00	Disney+
New Zealand	10:00	beIN Connect
Portugal	23:00	Sport TV1
South America	—	DGO Latin America
Usa	18:00	beIN Connect, Fanatiz


	Grêmio		Montevideo City Torque

	1	X	2
	1.5	4	7	Watch
	1.6	3.8	5.5
	1.49	3.95	6.4	Watch
	1.49	4.14	6.41
	1.52	4.1	6.45	Watch
	1.5	3.9	6
	1.55	4.39	6.87	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.57)	4.04 ↑ (3.77)	6.38 ↑ (5.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grêmio
61.9%

Draw
23.3%

Montevideo City Torque
14.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

58.8%

24.5%

16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5%

23.8%

16.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grêmio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Montevideo City Torque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montevideo City Torque than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Grêmio - Montevideo City Torque Predictions

Users Predictions: Grêmio will win (13 of 13 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Weverton (C) 7. Pavon C. 43. Luis Eduardo 44. Viery 54. Pedro Gabriel 21. Tete 33. Perez L. 39. Tiago 9. Amuzu F. 95. Carlos Vinicius 22. Braithwaite M.	1. Torgnascioli F. (G) 17. Aguero E. 3. Silva K. 2. Romero F. 24. Kagelmacher G. (C) 26. Silvera F. 5. Pizzichillo F. 14. Kociubinski B. 20. Montes G. 10. Obregon E. 9. Rodriguez S.
Substitutes
77. Andre Henrique 8. Arthur Melo 38. Caio Paulista 17. Dodi 99. Enamorado J. 37. Gabriel Mec 14. Marcos Rocha 19. Noriega E. 24. Thiago Beltrame (G) 3. Wagner Leonardo 4. Walter Kannemann 10. Willian	12. Aguiar M. (G) 7. Andrade L. 15. Busquets E. 32. Caceres S. 11. Da Silva N. 23. Dure L. 18. Lecchini R. 31. Munoz A. 21. Perez N. 30. Quintana J. 13. Rodriguez G. (G) 27. Taran J.
Coaches
Castro L.	Mendez M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', Montes G. 🟨,
25', Luis Eduardo ↓, Wagner Leonardo ↑,
26', Pavon C. ↓, Marcos Rocha ↑,
37', 0 - 1, Rodriguez S. ⚽, Silvera F. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Tiago ↓, Arthur Melo ↑,
46', Amuzu F. ↓, Gabriel Mec ↑,
47', 1 - 1, Gabriel Mec ⚽, Arthur Melo (A),
48', Wagner Leonardo 🟨,
50', Gabriel Mec 🟨,
68', Tete ↓, Enamorado J. ↑,
84', 1 - 2, Pizzichillo F. ⚽,
85', Kociubinski B. ↓, Taran J. ↑,
89', 2 - 2, Carlos Vinicius (Penalty Awarded),
90+2', Aguero E. 🟨,
90+5', Obregon E. ↓, Busquets E. ↑,
90+7', Carlos Vinicius 🟥,
90+7', Pizzichillo F. ↓, Caceres S. ↑,

Preview

Now, both teams are in good form.

Grêmio may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Montevideo City has had a series of home games.

In this match, Grêmio is the clear favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Grêmio won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grêmio RS
Brazilian Serie A
23.05.26	Grêmio - Santos	3:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
20.05.26	Grêmio - Palestino	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
17.05.26	Bahia - Grêmio	1:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
14.05.26	Confiança - Grêmio	0:3 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
10.05.26	Grêmio - Flamengo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWTWL
- Montevideo City Torque
Uruguayan Primera Division
23.05.26	Progreso - Montevideo City Torque	1:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
19.05.26	Montevideo City Torque - Deportivo Riestra	4:1 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
15.05.26	Montevideo City Torque - Nacional Montevideo	1:2 ✺
10.05.26	Montevideo City Torque - Progreso	2:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
06.05.26	Montevideo City Torque - Palestino	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
08.04.26	Montevideo City Torque - Grêmio	1:0

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