The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Montevideo City Torque 51.7%
Draw 27.2%
Progreso 21.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57%
24.7%
18.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.2%
24.2%
17.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Montevideo City Torque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Montevideo City Torque's form might have worsened.
Progreso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montevideo City Torque than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Montevideo City Torque, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Progreso than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
0%
33.3%
Montevideo City Torque - Progreso Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Montevideo City will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Progreso will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
1. Torgnascioli F. (G) 17. Aguero E. 2. Romero F. 24. Kagelmacher G. (C) 26. Silvera F. 20. Montes G. 14. Kociubinski B. 32. Caceres S. 18. Lecchini R. 11. Da Silva N. 10. Obregon E.
1. Mehring A. (G) 16. Trasante G. 3. Garcia F. 13. Carroso H. 15. Martin M. 5. Pinheiro A. 8. Colombino A. (C) 11. Lopez N. 29. Fernandez N. 30. Codagnone A. 23. Copelotti M.
Substitutes
23. Dure L. 29. Martinez F. 31. Munoz A. 21. Perez N. 5. Pizzichillo F. 30. Quintana J. 13. Rodriguez G. (G) 3. Silva K. 27. Taran J.
2. Cardozo Coitinho S. 25. Dos Santos J. 7. Fernandez F. 14. Kidd F. 10. Lemmo I. 31. Lopez F. 33. Requena A. (G) 93. Sanchez D. 27. Silva G. 18. Silva G.
Coaches
Mendez M.
Silva T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Lopez N. ⚽,
29', Lecchini R. 🟨,
34', 1 - 1, Silvera F. ⚽,
45', 2 - 1, Da Silva N. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Kociubinski B. ↓, Quintana J. ↑,
46', Lecchini R. ↓, Pizzichillo F. ↑,
56', Codagnone A. ↓, Dos Santos J. ↑,
56', Trasante G. ↓, Silva G. ↑,
66', Quintana J. 🟨,
67', 🟨,
67', Copelotti M. ↓, Sanchez D. ↑,
67', Fernandez N. ↓, Lemmo I. ↑,
76', Caceres S. ↓, Taran J. ↑,
78', Romero F. 🟨,
79', Martin M. 🟨,
85', Da Silva N. ↓, Munoz A. ↑,
86', Martin M. ↓, Silva G. ↑,
88', Lemmo I. 🟨,
88', Obregon E. ↓, Silva K. ↑,
90+1', Garcia F. 🟨,
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 and 15).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montevideo City won 3.
Montevideo City has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Progreso's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Montevideo City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Montevideo City is seen as the favorite.
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Montevideo City won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 23:19. (average 1.8:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Montevideo City won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:14. (average 1.3:2).
Brazil
Peru
Uruguay
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Torgnascioli F. (G) 
Kociubinski B. 
