Match Info

Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 5

Date: 19 May 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Centenario (Montevideo) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Aragon A. (Ecu)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	19:00	DirecTV Sports, Disney+, DSports 1
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
Australia	08:00	beIN Connect
Brazil	19:00	Paramount+
Canada	18:00	beIN Connect
Chile	18:00	DirecTV Sports, Disney+
Colombia	17:00	Disney+
Ecuador	17:00	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1611
Italy	00:00	Como TV
Mexico	16:00	Disney+
New Zealand	10:00	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	DirecTV Sports Caribbean
Peru	17:00	DirecTV Sports, Disney+
South America	—	DGO Latin America
Uruguay	19:00	DirecTV Sports, Disney+, DSports 310
Usa	18:00	beIN Connect, Fanatiz
Venezuela	18:00	DirecTV Sports, Disney+, DSports 1, Inter
International	22:00	Onefootball


	Montevideo City Torque		Deportivo Riestra

	1	X	2
	2.3	3	3.5	Watch
	2.28	2.92	3.35	Watch
	2.39	2.98	3.55
	2.35	2.83	3.66	Watch
	2.3	2.75	3.3
	2.31	2.92	3.55	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↑ (2.1)	2.9 ↓ (3)	3.49 ↓ (4.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montevideo City Torque
40.5%

Draw
32.5%

Deportivo Riestra
27%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45%

31.5%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

31.6%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montevideo City Torque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Deportivo Riestra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montevideo City Torque than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Riestra than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Montevideo City Torque - Deportivo Riestra Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Montevideo City will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Deportivo Riestra (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Deportivo Riestra (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Torgnascioli F. (G) 17. Aguero E. 3. Silva K. 24. Kagelmacher G. (C) 2. Romero F. 26. Silvera F. 5. Pizzichillo F. 8. Siles P. 20. Montes G. 10. Obregon E. 9. Rodriguez S.	1. Arce I. (G) 36. Bracamonte M. 15. Sansotre N. 19. Randazzo J. 22. Paz C. 5. Ramirez P. 10. Diaz A. 14. Monje P. 7. Alonso A. 27. Goitia J. 9. Herrera J. (C)
Substitutes
15. Busquets E. 32. Caceres S. 11. Da Silva N. 23. Dure L. 19. Guzman D. 14. Kociubinski B. 18. Lecchini R. 31. Munoz A. 21. Perez N. 13. Rodriguez G. (G) 27. Taran J.	34. Duarte L. 32. Flores G. 26. Luque J. (G) 25. Madero P. 24. Mino F. 4. Murillo Yaison 40. Obredor G. 45. Perez B. 28. Sayavedra R. 31. Smarra M. 35. Stringa A. 16. Watson N.
Coaches
Mendez M.	Duro G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Arce I. (Own goal),
28', 2 - 0, Goitia J. (Own goal),
32', Sansotre N. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Ramirez P. ↓, Watson N. ↑,
46', Herrera J. ↓, Perez B. ↑,
49', Diaz A. 🟨,
57', 3 - 0, Rodriguez S. ⚽, Obregon E. (A),
62', 3 - 1, Diaz A. ⚽, Goitia J. (A),
62', Alonso A. ↓, Flores G. ↑,
71', Perez B. 🟨,
75', Siles P. 🟨,
79', Pizzichillo F. ↓, Guzman D. ↑,
79', Siles P. ↓, Kociubinski B. ↑,
88', Arce I. 🟨,
89', 4 - 1, Aguero E. ⚽, Silvera F. (A),
90+1', Guzman D. 🟨,
90+3', Obregon E. ↓, Da Silva N. ↑,
90+3', Montes G. ↓, Caceres S. ↑,
90+5', Kagelmacher G. ↓, Taran J. ↑,

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Montevideo City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Montevideo City will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Montevideo City won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Montevideo City Torque - the odds 2.1 are the expected chance of winning is 44.97%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Montevideo City Torque
Uruguayan Primera Division
15.05.26	Montevideo City Torque - Nacional Montevideo	1:2 ✺
10.05.26	Montevideo City Torque - Progreso	2:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
06.05.26	Montevideo City Torque - Palestino	1:0 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
03.05.26	Racing Montevideo - Montevideo City Torque	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
29.04.26	Deportivo Riestra - Montevideo City Torque	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWWTL
- Deportivo Riestra
Copa Sudamericana
05.05.26	Deportivo Riestra - Grêmio	0:3 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
02.05.26	Lanús - Deportivo Riestra	0:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
29.04.26	Deportivo Riestra - Montevideo City Torque	2:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
24.04.26	Deportivo Riestra - Independiente	2:0 ✺
19.04.26	Talleres de Córdoba - Deportivo Riestra	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
29.04.26	Deportivo Riestra - Montevideo City Torque	2:1

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