Match Info

Division Profesional - Round 20

Date: 16 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Gilberto Parada (Montero)

Referee: Condori C. (Bol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bolivia	Entel Gol 56


	Guabirá		Aurora

	1	X	2
	2.32	3.50	2.65	Watch
	2.20	3.40	2.60
	2.00	3.45	2.90	Watch
	2.34	3.75	2.77
	2.07	3.73	3.19	Watch
	2.25	3.35	2.70
	2.39	3.52	2.72	Watch
	2.25	3.45	2.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↑ (1.76)	3.52 ↓ (3.65)	2.77 ↓ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 0.75

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guabirá
41%

Draw
26%

Aurora
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.4%

24.3%

25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

26.1%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guabirá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Guabirá's form might have worsened.

Aurora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aurora's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guabirá than the current prediction. (+13%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guabirá, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aurora than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aurora, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

Guabirá - Aurora Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Guabirá will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Aurora will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Arauz J. (G) 97. Gil S. 6. Anez C. (C) 2. Barro J. 29. Masskooni N. 77. Thiago Ribeiro 37. Chavez T. 7. Peredo G. 15. Rafinha 22. Tellez M. 11. Garzon S.	12. Cordano R. (G) 16. Barro L. 3. Barboza L. (C) 22. Velazquez J. 70. Torrico J. 23. Huayhuata I. 69. Terrazas A. 19. Sanchez E. 9. Rangel M. 8. Viviani L. 7. Vaca H.
Substitutes
91. Abrego V. 28. Baigorria Y. 25. Coronado Corcuy R. D. (G) 27. Corrales R. 35. Da Silva D. 19. Flores J. 40. Lujan P. 17. Maciel M. 8. Moreno A. 14. Parada J. 21. Portillo M. 88. Ursino L.	32. Altamirano S. 99. Barba Cortez M. (G) 15. Cordova J. 18. Ferreira S. 11. Mojica H. 21. Ortiz M. 20. Pacheco A. 25. Rios A. 14. Sanchez H. 4. Vidaurre I. 26. Villca D.
Coaches
Eguez L.	Diaz D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, Anez C. ⚽, Rafinha (A),
8', 2 - 0, Tellez M. ⚽, Garzon S. (A),
35', Vaca H. 🟨,
45', Gil S. 🟨,
45+2', 2 - 1, Terrazas A. (Penalty Awarded),
45+4', Huayhuata I. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', 3 - 1, Peredo G. ⚽, Rafinha (A),
53', Tellez M. ↓, Parada J. ↑,
54', Chavez T. ↓, Baigorria Y. ↑,
62', Peredo G. ↓, Abrego V. ↑,
65', Vaca H. ↓, Pacheco A. ↑,
65', Terrazas A. ↓, Mojica H. ↑,
65', Huayhuata I. ↓, Sanchez H. ↑,
65', Torrico J. ↓, Ortiz M. ↑,
69', Parada J. 🟨,
72', Garzon S. ↓, Maciel M. ↑,
72', Thiago Ribeiro ↓, Moreno A. ↑,
79', Barro L. ↓, Altamirano S. ↑,
88', Maciel M. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guabirá won 3.

Guabirá has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Aurora is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Aurora may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Guabirá has had a series of away games.

Guabirá might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Guabirá won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 29:26. (average 1.5:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Guabirá won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 22:9. (average 2.4:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Aurora	20	7	9	4	31:27	4	30
7	Guabira	20	8	5	7	32:39	-7	29

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guabirá
Bolivian Division Profesional
13.09.26	Always Ready - Guabirá	6:0 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
08.09.26	Oriente Petrolero - Guabirá	1:0 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
05.09.26	Guabirá - Real Potosí	1:1 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
31.08.26	San Antonio Bulo Bulo - Guabirá	5:1 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
27.08.26	Independiente Petroleros - Guabirá	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLTLL
- Club Aurora
Bolivian Division Profesional
11.09.26	San Antonio Bulo Bulo - Aurora	0:2 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
08.09.26	Aurora - Real Potosí	1:0 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
05.09.26	Aurora - GVCD San José	3:0 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
01.09.26	Universitario de Vinto - Aurora	1:1 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
27.08.26	Always Ready - Aurora	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.4 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Bolivian Division Profesional
02.05.26	Aurora - Guabirá	4:2
Bolivian Copa Pacena
28.10.25	Aurora - Guabirá	4:0
11.10.25	Guabirá - Aurora	2:1
Bolivian Division Profesional
10.08.25	Aurora - Guabirá	0:2
04.04.25	Guabirá - Aurora	5:2
29.09.24	Aurora - Guabirá	2:1
19.05.24	Guabirá - Aurora	1:1

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