Match Info

PARAGUAY: PRIMERA DIVISION - CLAUSURA - ROUND 11

Date: 15 September 2023, Friday

Location: Estadio Parque del Guairá (Villarrica)


	Guaireña		Sportivo Trinidense

	1	X	2
	2.88	3	2.45
	2.9	3	2.5	Watch
	3.16	3.01	2.6
	2.5	2.88	2.62
	2.97	2.91	2.53
	2.95	2.8	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 ↑ (2.62)	2.93 ↓ (3.13)	2.55 ↓ (2.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guaireña
32%

Draw
31.6%

Sportivo Trinidense
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.7%

29.9%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

30.9%

33.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guaireña has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Sportivo Trinidense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guaireña than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Trinidense than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	50%	30%

Guaireña - Sportivo Trinidense Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Guaireña will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Sportivo Trinidense will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Servin C. (G) 3. Castellano T. 38. Cazal I. 37. Comas L. 2. Gimenez A. 19. Godoy D. 5. Gonzalez J. 16. Paiz J. 6. Paniagua M. 26. Vazquez O. 9. Verdun J.	1. Gonzalez Ojeda P. M. (G) 10. Alvarez A. 15. Baez J. 23. Benitez C. 18. Fernandez D. 9. Gimenez O. 6. Jorge J. 14. Mendoza S. 17. Roman J. 13. Salcedo J. 5. Vera J.
Substitutes
22. Borja E. 10. Duarte C. 28. Finochietto L. (G) 31. Franco Zayas A. F. 11. Martinez A. 7. Parzajuk K. 20. Toledo R.	7. Arce P. 16. Arevalo R. 22. Arguello V. 21. Baez Mendoza R. 3. Delvalle R. 11. Mana N. 12. Samudio V. (G)
Coaches
Ovelar H.	Arrua J.

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 8).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Guaireña won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Guaireña won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guaireña FC
Paraguayan Primera Division
11.09.23	Resistencia - Guaireña	1:0 ✺
02.09.23	Guaireña - General Caballero JLM	2:1 ✺
25.08.23	Sportivo Ameliano - Guaireña	4:0 ✺
18.08.23	Olimpia Asuncion - Guaireña	1:1 ✺
12.08.23	Guaireña - Guaraní Asuncion	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 LWLTW
- Sportivo Trinidense
Paraguayan Primera Division
09.09.23	Sportivo Trinidense - Guaraní Asuncion	0:0 ✺
03.09.23	Nacional Asuncion - Sportivo Trinidense	1:2 ✺
26.08.23	Sportivo Trinidense - Tacuary	1:1 ✺
19.08.23	Libertad Asuncion - Sportivo Trinidense	0:1 ✺
14.08.23	Sportivo Trinidense - Sportivo Luqueño	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.9 TWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
22.04.23	Sportivo Trinidense - Guaireña	1:0
12.02.23	Guaireña - Sportivo Trinidense	1:1
Copa Paraguay
02.08.22	Sportivo Trinidense - Guaireña	2:3

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