Match Info

Date: 7 April 2022, Thursday


	Guaireña		Independiente Medellín

	1	X	2
	3	2.8	2.62	Watch
	3	3	2.45
	3.1	2.85	2.45	Watch
	2.95	2.75	2.65
	3.1	2.89	2.67
	3	2.7	2.55	Watch
	2.92	2.92	2.53	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↓ (3.03)	2.84 ↓ (3.12)	2.56 ↑ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guaireña
30.9%

Draw
32.7%

Independiente Medellín
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.5%

29.6%

39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.8%

29.9%

39.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guaireña has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Independiente Medellín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guaireña than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Medellín than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Guaireña - Independiente Medellín Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Recent matches Guaireña is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Independiente Medellín in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Guaireña could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guaireña FC
Paraguayan Primera Division
02.04.22	Guaireña - Libertad Asuncion	2:3 ✺
21.03.22	General Caballero JLM - Guaireña	0:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
17.03.22	Guaireña - Nacional Asuncion	0:0 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
14.03.22	Guaireña - 12 de Octubre	0:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
10.03.22	Nacional Asuncion - Guaireña	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 LWTTW
- Independiente Medellín
Colombian Primera A
02.04.22	Independiente Medellín - Envigado	2:1 ✺
26.03.22	Deportivo Pereira - Independiente Medellín	1:1 ✺
23.03.22	Independiente Medellín - Millonarios	1:0 ✺
19.03.22	América de Cali - Independiente Medellín	1:3 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
16.03.22	América de Cali - Independiente Medellín	2:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 WTWWW

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