Match Info

ECUADOR: LIGA PRO - SECOND STAGE - ROUND 27

Date: 4 November 2023, Saturday


	Gualaceo		Delfín

	1	X	2
	2.63	3	2.9	Watch
	2.45	2.87	2.7	Watch
	2.55	3	2.8	Watch
	2.6	3.03	3.04
	2.6	3.03	3.04
	2.5	2.9	2.7
	2.58	2.95	2.89	Watch
	2.55	3	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↑ (2.44)	2.97 ↓ (3.15)	2.87 ↓ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gualaceo
36.3%

Draw
31.3%

Delfín
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.5%

29.7%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

30%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gualaceo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Delfín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gualaceo than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Delfín than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	50%	50%

Gualaceo - Delfín Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Delfín will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Delfín: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Eras Quilambaqui T. A. (G) 23. Mesa Mercado E. E. 3. Ontaneda J. 12. Rodriguez Y. 62. Torres B. 21. Morocho R. 18. Gongora J. (C) 8. Flores F. 10. Preciado J. 5. Verges J. 22. Donsanti T.	26. Heras B. (G) 55. Reyes M. 18. Caicedo L. (C) 2. Goitea N. 15. Mina J. 7. Ruiz J. 16. Castro L. 5. Garcia C. 10. Oyola B. 11. Rodriguez A. 9. Castelli F.
Substitutes
28. Calle A. 11. Carrion J. 26. Enriquez D. 27. Hinostroza W. (G) 45. Medina J. 33. Mercado H. 77. Minda T. 19. Nunez M. 16. Ovando D. 7. Patta Quintero H. L. 20. Quinonez H. 9. Villalba D.	19. Alman J. 32. Costa F. 13. Cuero Mercado J. W. 3. Ferreira M. 8. Molina N. 24. Nazareno J. 23. Ortiz C. (G) 17. Penilla C. 22. Sanchez A.
Coaches
Frias F.	Duro G.

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 and 4).

Gualaceo is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Delfín is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Gualaceo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Gualaceo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Gualaceo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gualaceo SC
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
27.10.23	Libertad Loja - Gualaceo	3:0 ✺
22.10.23	Gualaceo - SD Aucas	1:2 ✺
08.10.23	Independiente del Valle - Gualaceo	2:0 ✺
29.09.23	Gualaceo - Deportivo Cuenca	1:1 ✺
23.09.23	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Gualaceo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LLLTT
- Delfín SC
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
29.10.23	Delfín - Cumbayá	4:0 ✺
23.10.23	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Delfín	2:2 ✺
08.10.23	Delfín - LDU Quito	0:0 ✺
30.09.23	El Nacional - Delfín	2:2 ✺
24.09.23	Delfín - Guayaquil City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
27.05.23	Delfín - Gualaceo	1:0
15.10.22	Gualaceo - Delfín	2:1
Ecuadorian Copa
05.07.22	Delfín - Gualaceo	2:0
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
21.05.22	Delfín - Gualaceo	1:0

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