Match Info

ECUADOR: LIGA PRO - SECOND STAGE - ROUND 23

Date: 29 September 2023, Friday

Location: Estadio Jorge Andrade (Azogues)

Referee: Sanchez J. (Ecu)


	Gualaceo		Deportivo Cuenca

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.2	2.38	Watch
	2.7	3.1	2.35
	2.7	3.2	2.5	Watch
	2.93	3.12	2.62
	2.7	3.1	2.45
	2.81	3.1	2.54	Watch
	2.85	3.05	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.77 ↑ (2.37)	3.12 ↑ (3)	2.48 ↑ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gualaceo
33.3%

Draw
29.5%

Deportivo Cuenca
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.9%

27.6%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2%

24.7%

42%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gualaceo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Deportivo Cuenca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gualaceo than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Cuenca than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	28.6%	57.1%

Gualaceo - Deportivo Cuenca Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Gualaceo will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Deportivo Cuenca will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Eras Quilambaqui T. A. (G) 3. Ontaneda J. 23. Mesa Mercado E. E. 25. Ndong O. 7. Patta Quintero H. L. 20. Quinonez H. 19. Nunez M. 10. Preciado J. 18. Gongora J. 45. Medina J. 5. Verges J.	12. Bores E. (G) 4. Biojo R. 27. Lopez E. 6. Recalde L. 18. Rivera B. 32. Farias R. 8. Rinaldi N. 7. Mancinelli L. 5. Melo R. 14. Davila E. 25. Lopez A.
Substitutes
80. Branda J. 11. Carrion J. 26. Enriquez D. 1. Genero G. (G) 33. Mercado H. 21. Morocho R. 16. Ovando D. 12. Rodriguez Y. 62. Torres B. 9. Villalba D.	11. Almeida Marquez J. J. 29. Arroyo L. 9. Avila D. 1. Eduardo Jose Jimenez Sarmiento (G) 22. Fernandez-Salvador L. 17. Guerron R. 28. Gutierrez S. 30. Mina S. 13. Noboa D. 16. Quinonez Y.
Coaches
Frias F.	Ischia C.

Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 and 8).

Gualaceo has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Deportivo Cuenca is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Gualaceo won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Gualaceo won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gualaceo SC
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
23.09.23	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Gualaceo	0:0 ✺
18.09.23	Gualaceo - Cumbayá	0:3 ✺
03.09.23	Técnico Universitario - Gualaceo	4:0 ✺
27.08.23	Gualaceo - LDU Quito	1:3 ✺
16.08.23	Orense - Gualaceo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TLLLL
- Deportivo Cuenca
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
24.09.23	Deportivo Cuenca - Barcelona Guayaquil	1:2 ✺
16.09.23	Guayaquil City - Deportivo Cuenca	0:0 ✺
03.09.23	Deportivo Cuenca - Orense	1:0 ✺
28.08.23	Deportivo Cuenca - Técnico Universitario	1:1 ✺
18.08.23	Cumbayá - Deportivo Cuenca	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
29.04.23	Deportivo Cuenca - Gualaceo	1:2
22.07.22	Gualaceo - Deportivo Cuenca	0:0
07.03.22	Deportivo Cuenca - Gualaceo	2:1

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