Match Info

ECUADOR: LIGA PRO - SECOND STAGE - ROUND 26

Date: 27 October 2023, Friday


	Libertad Loja		Gualaceo

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.3	3.8	Watch
	1.88	3.25	3.6	Watch
	1.95	3.4	3.75	Watch
	1.93	3.45	3.8
	1.96	3.42	4.1
	1.85	3.4	3.75
	1.92	3.35	3.95	Watch
	1.94	3.35	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.83)	3.37 ↑ (3.25)	3.81 ↑ (3.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Libertad Loja
48.2%

Draw
27.5%

Gualaceo
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.6%

27.4%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.8%

26.2%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Libertad Loja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Gualaceo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Libertad Loja than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gualaceo than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Libertad Loja - Gualaceo Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Libertad will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Gualaceo will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Bolado J. (G) 88. Quinonez J. 27. Alvacete J. 22. Arbelaez F. 13. Requene R. 21. Avila F. 5. Larrea P. (C) 10. Naula A. 77. Rodriguez B. 30. Simisterra R. 25. Porozo D.	27. Hinostroza W. (G) 12. Rodriguez Y. 3. Ontaneda J. 62. Torres B. 23. Mesa Mercado E. E. 18. Gongora J. 10. Preciado J. 6. Ovando D. 5. Verges J. 7. Patta Quintero H. L. 21. Morocho R.
Substitutes
51. Alvarez Patino D. A. 32. Angulo J. L. (G) 37. Caicedo J. 31. Caicedo W. 19. Carabali E. 53. Corozo J. 6. Enciso C. 7. Feraud C. 16. Garces R. 17. Gatti F. 9. Sosa S. 11. Valverde A.	22. Donsanti T. 26. Enriquez D. 34. Eras Quilambaqui T. A. (G) 8. Flores F. 45. Medina J. 77. Minda T. 20. Quinonez H. 9. Villalba D.
Coaches
Cumbicus G.	Frias F.

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 and 16).

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Libertad will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Libertad won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Libertad won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Libertad Loja
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
21.10.23	Barcelona Guayaquil - Libertad Loja	1:0 ✺
09.10.23	Libertad Loja - Guayaquil City	1:0 ✺
01.10.23	Orense - Libertad Loja	3:0 ✺
25.09.23	Libertad Loja - El Nacional	0:1 ✺
17.09.23	Independiente del Valle - Libertad Loja	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LWLLL
- Gualaceo SC
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
22.10.23	Gualaceo - SD Aucas	1:2 ✺
08.10.23	Independiente del Valle - Gualaceo	2:0 ✺
29.09.23	Gualaceo - Deportivo Cuenca	1:1 ✺
23.09.23	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Gualaceo	0:0 ✺
18.09.23	Gualaceo - Cumbayá	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
21.05.23	Gualaceo - Libertad Loja	1:1
Club Friendly
18.02.23	Gualaceo - Libertad Loja	2:2
15.02.23	Libertad Loja - Gualaceo	1:0

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