Match Info

Primera Division - Clausura - Round 20

Date: 26 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Chorotega (Nicoya)


	Guanacasteca		Sporting San José

	1	X	2
	2.33	3.2	2.95
	2.31	3.25	2.79
	2.41	3.14	3.01	Watch
	2.4	3.1	2.9
	2.36	3.16	2.92	Watch
	2.33	3.2	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↓ (2.86)	3.18 ↑ (3.01)	2.92 ↑ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guanacasteca
39.2%

Draw
29.1%

Sporting San José
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.5%

30.9%

36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32%

30.4%

37.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guanacasteca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Guanacasteca's performance.

Sporting San José has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guanacasteca than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guanacasteca that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting San José than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sporting San José could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Guanacasteca - Sporting San José Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 10 and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Guanacasteca won 2.

Guanacasteca is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Sporting San José is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Guanacasteca won 6 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 23:25 (average 1.4:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Guanacasteca won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 15:5 (average 2.1:0.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Sporting San José - the odds 2.54 are the expected chance of winning is 36.56%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Guanacasteca
Costa Rican Primera Division
20.04.25	Cartagines - Guanacasteca	Cartagines awarded ✺
15.04.25	Pérez Zeledón - Guanacasteca	3:0 ✺
13.04.25	Guanacasteca - Alajuelense	1:1 ✺
05.04.25	Santa Ana - Guanacasteca	0:0 ✺
29.03.25	Guanacasteca - San Carlos	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 ?LTTL
- Sporting San José
Costa Rican Primera Division
20.04.25	Sporting San José - Pérez Zeledón	0:0 ✺
16.04.25	Alajuelense - Sporting San José	0:0 ✺
12.04.25	Santos de Guápiles - Sporting San José	2:3 ✺
05.04.25	Sporting San José - Deportivo Saprissa	0:1 ✺
30.03.25	Sporting San José - Santa Ana	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Costa Rican Primera Division
03.03.25	Sporting San José - Guanacasteca	2:1
22.09.24	Guanacasteca - Sporting San José	2:1
03.08.24	Sporting San José - Guanacasteca	2:2
31.03.24	Sporting San José - Guanacasteca	3:2
24.01.24	Guanacasteca - Sporting San José	4:2
21.10.23	Sporting San José - Guanacasteca	1:1
20.08.23	Guanacasteca - Sporting San José	3:1

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