Match Info

Date: 1 December 2020, Tuesday


	Guangzhou Evergrande		Suwon Bluewings

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.5	4	Watch
	1.83	3.5	4
	1.88	3.35	3.7	Watch
	1.93	3.25	3.8
	1.97	3.57	4.03
	1.91	3.4	4	Watch
	1.94	3.44	3.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.87)	3.43 ↓ (3.53)	3.93 ↓ (3.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guangzhou Evergrande
48.9%

Draw
27.3%

Suwon Bluewings
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

26.5%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2%

17%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guangzhou Evergrande has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Suwon Bluewings has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guangzhou Evergrande than the current prediction. (-16.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guangzhou Evergrande that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Suwon Bluewings than the current prediction. (+12.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Suwon Bluewings could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71%	3.2%	25.8%

Guangzhou Evergrande - Suwon Bluewings Predictions

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Guangzhou Evergrande will win (votes: 22 - 71%). Suwon Bluewings will win (votes: 8 - 25.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 3.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Guangzhou Evergrande: 55% – 87%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Neutral location. No spectators.

Guangzhou Evergrande is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Suwon Bluewings is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Guangzhou Evergrande could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Guangzhou Evergrande is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Guangzhou Evergrande won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Guangzhou Evergrande won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guangzhou Evergrande TH
AFC Champions League
28.11.20	Vissel Kobe - Guangzhou Evergrande	0:2 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
26.11.20	Guangzhou Evergrande - Kunshan	0:3 ✺
AFC Champions League
25.11.20	Guangzhou Evergrande - Vissel Kobe	1:3 ✺
22.11.20	Suwon Bluewings - Guangzhou Evergrande	0:0 ✺
Chinese Super League
12.11.20	Guangzhou Evergrande - Jiangsu Guoxin Sainty	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLLTL
- Suwon Bluewings
AFC Champions League
22.11.20	Suwon Bluewings - Guangzhou Evergrande	0:0 ✺
South Korean K-League 1
31.10.20	Gangwon - Suwon Bluewings	1:2 ✺
23.10.20	Suwon Bluewings - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	1:2 ✺
18.10.20	Busan I Park - Suwon Bluewings	0:0 ✺
04.10.20	Incheon United - Suwon Bluewings	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 TWLTW

Latest Head to Head

AFC Champions League
22.11.20	Suwon Bluewings - Guangzhou Evergrande	0:0
09.05.17	Guangzhou Evergrande - Suwon Bluewings	2:2
01.03.17	Suwon Bluewings - Guangzhou Evergrande	2:2

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