Match Info

Date: 25 November 2020, Wednesday


	Guangzhou Evergrande		Vissel Kobe

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.5	2.62	Watch
	2.25	3.4	2.9
	2.35	3.25	2.75	Watch
	2.36	3.4	2.7
	2.4	3.65	2.91
	2.35	3.4	2.88	Watch
	2.28	3.64	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (2.27)	3.46 ↑ (3.32)	2.81 ↓ (2.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guangzhou Evergrande
40%

Draw
26.9%

Vissel Kobe
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

27.9%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.8%

20.1%

22.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guangzhou Evergrande has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Vissel Kobe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guangzhou Evergrande than the current prediction. (+16.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guangzhou Evergrande, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vissel Kobe than the current prediction. (-10.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vissel Kobe, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.1%	10.8%	8.1%

Guangzhou Evergrande - Vissel Kobe Predictions

Users Predictions: 37 users predict this event. Guangzhou Evergrande will win (votes: 30 - 81.1%). Vissel Kobe will win (votes: 3 - 8.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 10.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Guangzhou Evergrande: 68.5% – 93.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Neutral location. No spectators.

Recent matches Guangzhou Evergrande is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Vissel Kobe has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Guangzhou Evergrande could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Guangzhou Evergrande will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guangzhou Evergrande TH
AFC Champions League
22.11.20	Suwon Bluewings - Guangzhou Evergrande	0:0 ✺
Chinese Super League
12.11.20	Guangzhou Evergrande - Jiangsu Guoxin Sainty	1:2 ✺
08.11.20	Jiangsu Guoxin Sainty - Guangzhou Evergrande	0:0 ✺
02.11.20	Guangzhou Evergrande - Beijing Guoan	3:1 ✺
28.10.20	Beijing Guoan - Guangzhou Evergrande	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 TLTWT
- Vissel Kobe
Japan J1 League
18.11.20	Vissel Kobe - Urawa Red Diamonds	0:1 ✺
15.11.20	Vissel Kobe - Shonan Bellmare	0:2 ✺
11.11.20	Gamba Osaka - Vissel Kobe	1:0 ✺
08.11.20	Yokohama FC - Vissel Kobe	2:1 ✺
03.11.20	Shimizu S-Pulse - Vissel Kobe	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

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