Match Info

J1 League - Round 3

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday

Location: IAI Stadium Nihondaira (Shizuoka)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Canal GOAT
China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Shimizu S-Pulse		Vissel Kobe

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.5	1.91	Watch
	3.8	3.3	1.95	Watch
	5.01	3.8	1.77
	4.11	3.28	1.98	Watch
	3.75	3.25	1.95
	3.98	3.43	1.97	Watch
	5	3.75	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.22 ↓ (4.92)	3.47 ↓ (3.9)	1.88 ↑ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shimizu S-Pulse
22.4%

Draw
27.3%

Vissel Kobe
50.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.2%

24.2%

56.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shimizu S-Pulse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Vissel Kobe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vissel Kobe might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	80%	10%

Shimizu S Pulse - Vissel Kobe Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Shimizu will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Vissel Kobe will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 55.2% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Oki Y. (G) 39. Hidaka H. 51. Sumiyoshi J. 15. Honda Y. 28. Yoshida Y. 10. Matheus Bueno 81. Kozuka K. 23. Chiba K. 49. Kitagawa K. 9. Oh Se-Hun 7. Capixaba	1. Maekawa D. (G) 23. Hirose R. 4. Yamakawa T. 3. Thuler M. 41. Nagato K. 25. Kuwasaki Y. 7. Ideguchi Y. 14. Inui T. 11. Muto Y. 29. Komatsu R. 13. Sasaki D.
Substitutes
5. Kitazume K. 21. Matsuzaki K. 97. Ohata R. 14. Park Seung-Wook 50. Stephens A. 38. Takahashi T. 16. Umeda T. (G) 6. Uno Z. 17. Yumiba M.	5. Goke Y. 71. Gonda S. (G) 28. Hamasaki K. 44. Hidaka M. 18. Ide H. 26. Jean Patric 80. Nduka B. 43. Yamada K. 30. Yamauchi K.
Coaches
Yoshida T.	Skibbe M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Yamakawa T. 🟥,
22', Inui T. ↓, Nduka B. ↑,
25', Hidaka H. 🟨,
31', Ideguchi Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', 1 - 0, Oh Se-Hun (Penalty Awarded),
71', Hidaka H. ↓, Park Seung-Wook ↑,
72', Ideguchi Y. ↓, Hamasaki K. ↑,
72', Komatsu R. ↓, Jean Patric ↑,
74', Yoshida Y. 🟨,
76', Thuler M. 🟨,
78', Chiba K. ↓, Takahashi T. ↑,
78', Kozuka K. ↓, Uno Z. ↑,
83', Hirose R. ↓, Yamada K. ↑,
83', Kuwasaki Y. ↓, Goke Y. ↑,
89', Takahashi T. 🟨,
90+2', Capixaba ↓, Stephens A. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shimizu won 1.

Shimizu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Vissel Kobe is the team to beat.

There will not play in Shimizu: Takahashi Y. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Vissel Kobe: Arai S. (Knee Injury) Ogihara T. (Injury) Osako Y. (Injury)

There are questionable in Shimizu: Chiba K. (Injury) Park Seung-Wook (Injury)

There are questionable in Vissel Kobe: Diego (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Shimizu won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 30:36. (average 1.5:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Shimizu won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:16. (average 1.3:1.8).

Outrights of Japan J1 League for now

Vissel Kobe: 20.95% Shimizu S-Pulse: 0.65%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Vissel Kobe	4	2	1	1	4:3	1	7
16	Shimizu S-Pulse	4	1	0	3	1:3	-2	3

Last Results with these Odds

Vissel Kobe - the odds 1.67 are the expected chance of winning is 56.57%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shimizu S-Pulse
Japan J1 League
14.02.26	Shimizu S-Pulse - Kyoto Sanga	1:2 penalties ✺
08.02.26	Nagoya Grampus - Shimizu S-Pulse	1:0 ✺
06.12.25	Shimizu S-Pulse - Fagiano Okayama	1:2 ✺
30.11.25	Shonan Bellmare - Shimizu S-Pulse	1:0 ✺
09.11.25	Shimizu S-Pulse - Cerezo Osaka	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Vissel Kobe
AFC Champions League
17.02.26	Johor Darul Takzim - Vissel Kobe	1:0 ✺
Japan J1 League
13.02.26	Vissel Kobe - V-Varen Nagasaki	2:0 ✺
AFC Champions League
10.02.26	Vissel Kobe - FC Seoul	2:0 ✺
Japan J1 League
06.02.26	Kyoto Sanga - Vissel Kobe	1:1 ✺
AFC Champions League
09.12.25	Vissel Kobe - Chengdu Rongcheng	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
27.09.25	Vissel Kobe - Shimizu S-Pulse	2:1
25.05.25	Shimizu S-Pulse - Vissel Kobe	3:2
06.07.22	Vissel Kobe - Shimizu S-Pulse	2:1
19.03.22	Shimizu S-Pulse - Vissel Kobe	0:0
24.09.21	Shimizu S-Pulse - Vissel Kobe	0:2
11.04.21	Vissel Kobe - Shimizu S-Pulse	1:1
03.11.20	Shimizu S-Pulse - Vissel Kobe	3:1

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